El Salvador election 2027 polls

Figures as published by each pollster (% of all respondents). *None / DK: "none", "don't know" and "my vote is secret". The last column is the decided-voter share: those answers removed and the rest rescaled to 100.

Careful when comparing: Data Poll publishes its figures without undecided voters, while IUDOP and LPG Datos include respondents who pick no one or decline to answer (between 19% and 35% of those interviewed). That is why the published figures cannot be compared directly, but the decided-voter shares can.

Published seat projections

Seats out of 60 as projected by the pollster itself (it does not publish vote shares). Sondagio does not make its own seat projection for El Salvador.

Figures do not always add up to 100: the rest don't know, didn't answer or chose other options. Each pollster words the question its own way.

On 31 July 2025 the Legislative Assembly passed a constitutional amendment that removes presidential term limits, lengthens the term from five to six years, replaces the run-off with a simple plurality and brings the presidential election forward from 2029 to 2027 so it coincides with the legislative and municipal elections. The 57 deputies aligned with the president voted in favor and the 3 opposition deputies against. Under that amendment Nayib Bukele's second term ends on 1 June 2027, and he is running for a third.

The candidate with the most votes wins the presidency, with no second round. On the same day voters elect the 60 deputies of the Legislative Assembly (since May 2026, six of them for a diaspora constituency) and the municipal councils. Salvadorans abroad can vote online from 30 January to 28 February. The official campaign began on 27 October 2026 and ends on 24 February 2027.

Who is who: Nuevas Ideas (NI) is Bukele's party. ARENA, on the right, and the FMLN, on the left, are the two parties that alternated in power before him (ARENA from 1989 to 2009, the FMLN from 2009 to 2019). GANA, PCN and PDC are smaller parties: GANA, under whose banner Bukele was first elected in 2019, backs his candidacy; the PCN, allied with Nuevas Ideas in the Assembly, has its own candidate; the PDC is not running for president. The opposition is split over the election: ARENA and the FMLN are fielding candidates, while Vamos said it will not run for president because it considers the election unconstitutional, though it is standing in the legislative and municipal races. Source: Wikipedia, 2027 Salvadoran presidential election.

• Decided voters: from each poll we remove "none", "don't know" and "my vote is secret" and rescale the rest to 100. That makes pollsters that publish with and without undecided voters comparable.
• Average: each pollster's latest poll with fieldwork ending in the 60 days before the most recent poll; simple mean. If there is only one, we show that poll and say so. Fieldwork dates sit next to every figure: few polls are published in El Salvador and the latest can be months old.
• Presidential: for now, voting intention by party (polls by candidate will count once there are at least three). Legislative: national vote by party; seat projections are shown separately, exactly as each pollster publishes them. We do not use polls by department.
• Data: every published poll, compiled on Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Each row links to the original publication. Party colors are indicative.
• Independence: Sondagio's founder has no ties to any candidate or campaign. The averages are calculated by formula from every published poll; no figures are adjusted by hand.