Finland election 2027 polls
Sun Eduskunta · 200 seats · D'Hondt
PollsD-157days to election day
SDP 23%, PS 16%, KOK 16%.
As of , the Social Democratic Party (SDP) leads with 23.1%, 7.1 points ahead of the Finns Party (PS) on 16.0%, with the National Coalition Party (KOK) on 15.8%. In 2023 the National Coalition won with 20.8% (SDP +3.2 since then). Prime Minister Petteri Orpo's four governing parties (KOK, PS, RKP and KD) poll 38.9% together, against 59.0% for the opposition parties. Average of the latest poll from 2 pollsters (Yle/Taloustutkimus and Helsingin Sanomat/Verian).
- 7.1 ptsSDP–PS gap
- 38.9%government parties
- 59.0%opposition parties
- 101seats for a majority (of 200)
Latest pollTaloustutkimus · Yle · · 2,170 voters
SDP 22.9%PS 16.7%KOK 15.4%VAS 12.6%KESK 12.2%
Flashpoints: events and the polls
Same pollster, before and after- Finland's 2025 municipal and county elections: Finns Party (PS) fell with all 2 pollsters (-3.9 points on average); Centre Party (KESK) rose with all 2 (+1.8); National Coalition Party (KOK) edged up with all 2 pollsters (+0.6).
- Finns Party MPs' posts and the prime minister's apology to Asian countries: Left Alliance (VAS) edged up with all 2 pollsters (+1.1); Finns Party (PS) edged down with all 2 pollsters (-0.7).
- The STEA grants dispute and the Garden Helsinki arena affair: Finns Party (PS) rose with all 2 (+2.0); National Coalition Party (KOK) edged down with all 2 pollsters (-1.1); Social Democratic Party (SDP) edged down with all 2 pollsters (-0.7).
Finland poll average
% of the vote · 2 pollsters| Party | Average | Range across pollsters | 2023 vote | 2023 seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDPSocial Democratic Party (SDP) | 23.1% | 22.9 – 23.3 | 19.9 | 43 |
| PSFinns Party (PS) | 16.0% | 15.3 – 16.7 | 20.1 | 46 |
| KOKNational Coalition Party (KOK) | 15.8% | 15.4 – 16.2 | 20.8 | 48 |
| KESKCentre Party (KESK) | 13.0% | 12.2 – 13.8 | 11.3 | 23 |
| VASLeft Alliance (VAS) | 12.1% | 11.6 – 12.6 | 7.1 | 11 |
| VIHRGreen League (VIHR) | 8.6% | 8.6 – 8.6 | 7.0 | 13 |
| RKPSwedish People's Party (RKP/SFP) | 4.0% | 4.0 – 4.1 | 4.3 | 9 |
| KDChristian Democrats (KD) | 3.1% | 2.8 – 3.5 | 4.2 | 5 |
| LiikMovement Now (Liike Nyt) | 2.2% | 2.1 – 2.4 | 2.4 | 1 |
| OthersOthers | 1.9% | 1.9 – 2.0 | 2.8 | 1 |
2023: official result of the 2 April 2023 election (Ministry of Justice). The 2023 seat for Others is Åland's single seat. Range: lowest and highest figure among the polls in the average.
Government v opposition
sum of party averages · not a seat countKOKPSRKPKD
38.9%of the vote · 2023: 49.4% (−10.5), 108 seatsOrpo cabinet (government)SDPKESKVASVIHRLiik
59.0%of the vote · 2023: 47.7% (+11.3), 91 seatsOppositionGovernment: the Orpo cabinet, in office since 20 June 2023 — National Coalition, Finns Party, Swedish People's Party and Christian Democrats (source: Wikipedia, “Orpo cabinet”). Opposition: the other parties in the Eduskunta (SDP, Centre, Left Alliance, Greens, Movement Now). The next government will be whatever coalition can command 101 of 200 seats after the election; these sums are not a forecast of it.
No seat projection. The 200 seats are allocated by D'Hondt separately in 13 electoral districts of very different sizes, which favours larger parties in small districts. There is no regular district polling to project from, so this page shows the national vote, not seats.
Finland election polls over time
Daily average since May 2023Latest Finland election polls
82 polls since 2023 · 40 newest shown| Fieldwork | Pollster | Sample | SDP | PS | KOK | KESK | VAS | VIHR | RKP | KD | Liik | Others | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct – 3 Nov 2026 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,170 | 22.9 | 16.7 | 15.4 | 12.2 | 12.6 | 8.6 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | source ↗ |
| 15 Sept – 19 Oct 2026 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 4,076 | 23.3 | 15.3 | 16.2 | 13.8 | 11.6 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 7 Sept – 5 Oct 2026 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,807 | 22.7 | 16.5 | 16.3 | 12.6 | 12.4 | 8.3 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.9 | source ↗ |
| 18 Aug – 14 Sept 2026 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 3,078 | 23.4 | 15.0 | 16.5 | 13.6 | 11.6 | 8.6 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 10 Aug – 1 Sept 2026 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,502 | 22.6 | 16.3 | 17.0 | 13.5 | 11.7 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | source ↗ |
| 14 Jul – 17 Aug 2026 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 2,946 | 23.8 | 14.6 | 16.5 | 13.7 | 11.3 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 6 Jul – 3 Aug 2026 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,125 | 23.8 | 15.6 | 17.0 | 12.7 | 10.3 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | source ↗ |
| 15 Jun – 13 Jul 2026 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 3,512 | 23.8 | 14.2 | 16.7 | 13.7 | 11.5 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | source ↗ |
| 4 Jun – 30 Jun 2026 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,433 | 23.2 | 14.5 | 17.4 | 13.6 | 11.4 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 2.8 | source ↗ |
| 18 May – 15 Jun 2026 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 4,080 | 24.1 | 13.6 | 17.4 | 13.6 | 11.2 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 11 May – 1 Jun 2026 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,224 | 23.0 | 13.8 | 18.3 | 14.1 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 2.3 | source ↗ |
| 21 Apr – 18 May 2026 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 4,120 | 24.3 | 13.4 | 17.3 | 13.6 | 11.0 | 9.1 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | source ↗ |
| 13 Apr – 5 May 2026 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,378 | 23.7 | 13.9 | 17.6 | 14.2 | 10.9 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | source ↗ |
| 18 Mar – 20 Apr 2026 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 4,340 | 24.6 | 13.3 | 17.6 | 13.7 | 10.6 | 9.2 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 4 Mar – 7 Apr 2026 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,543 | 24.1 | 13.5 | 17.4 | 14.5 | 11.3 | 8.7 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 2.5 | source ↗ |
| 17 Feb – 16 Mar 2026 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 4,048 | 24.8 | 13.4 | 17.8 | 13.7 | 10.4 | 8.9 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 9 Feb – 3 Mar 2026 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,402 | 25.0 | 14.9 | 17.9 | 13.2 | 11.0 | 8.2 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.1 | source ↗ |
| 20 Jan – 16 Feb 2026 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 4,072 | 25.1 | 13.0 | 17.9 | 14.1 | 10.4 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 12 Jan – 3 Feb 2026 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,402 | 25.0 | 13.3 | 18.8 | 14.3 | 11.1 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | source ↗ |
| 5 Dec – 19 Jan 2026 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 4,050 | 25.0 | 13.4 | 18.4 | 14.3 | 10.0 | 8.3 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.1 | source ↗ |
| 8 Dec – 2 Jan 2026 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,024 | 23.9 | 15.1 | 19.6 | 13.5 | 10.7 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 1.8 | source ↗ |
| 17 Nov – 14 Dec 2025 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 4,075 | 25.3 | 13.1 | 18.0 | 14.8 | 9.5 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 10 Nov – 2 Dec 2025 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,407 | 24.7 | 14.2 | 18.7 | 13.9 | 10.2 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 13 Oct – 16 Nov 2025 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 3,971 | 24.7 | 13.4 | 18.3 | 15.3 | 9.1 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 6 Oct – 4 Nov 2025 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,520 | 25.4 | 14.6 | 19.0 | 13.8 | 9.5 | 7.3 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | source ↗ |
| 15 Sept – 12 Oct 2025 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 3,598 | 24.8 | 12.8 | 18.2 | 15.7 | 9.4 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 3 Sept – 30 Sept 2025 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,383 | 24.9 | 14.9 | 18.6 | 14.3 | 9.6 | 7.5 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | source ↗ |
| 18 Aug – 14 Sept 2025 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 3,793 | 25.3 | 11.4 | 18.4 | 16.1 | 9.7 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 2.1 | source ↗ |
| 11 Aug – 2 Sept 2025 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,266 | 25.8 | 12.8 | 19.2 | 14.7 | 9.5 | 7.7 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 2.1 | source ↗ |
| 15 Jul – 17 Aug 2025 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 3,012 | 25.2 | 11.0 | 18.8 | 16.3 | 10.0 | 8.3 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 7 Jul – 5 Aug 2025 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,844 | 24.7 | 12.3 | 19.1 | 15.1 | 10.1 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.8 | source ↗ |
| 16 Jun – 14 Jul 2025 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 3,016 | 25.4 | 10.6 | 19.8 | 15.7 | 9.8 | 8.0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 2.1 | source ↗ |
| 9 Jun – 30 Jun 2025 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,421 | 25.1 | 11.8 | 20.8 | 13.9 | 9.8 | 7.6 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | source ↗ |
| 19 May – 16 Jun 2025 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 4,083 | 25.2 | 10.0 | 19.8 | 15.7 | 10.0 | 8.2 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 2.3 | source ↗ |
| 12 May – 2 Jun 2025 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,401 | 25.1 | 10.8 | 21.5 | 14.1 | 9.5 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 2.0 | source ↗ |
| 16 Apr – 18 May 2025 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 3,770 | 25.3 | 10.5 | 19.9 | 15.3 | 10.1 | 7.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 2.4 | source ↗ |
| 14 Apr – 6 May 2025 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,422 | 25.3 | 11.4 | 20.2 | 15.6 | 9.4 | 7.9 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | source ↗ |
| 10 Mar – 7 Apr 2025 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,478 | 23.4 | 15.4 | 19.6 | 14.2 | 9.0 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | source ↗ |
| 18 Feb – 16 Mar 2025 | Verian · Helsingin Sanomat | 3,224 | 24.2 | 14.2 | 19.3 | 13.2 | 9.4 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 2.4 | source ↗ |
| 10 Feb – 4 Mar 2025 | Taloustutkimus · Yle | 2,519 | 22.8 | 15.4 | 20.0 | 13.7 | 8.5 | 7.8 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | source ↗ |
How we calculate
- Average: each pollster's latest poll with fieldwork ending in the 45 days before the newest poll, simple mean per party. Finland's two regular national polls, Taloustutkimus for Yle and Verian for Helsingin Sanomat, are each published about once a month, with fieldwork of three to five weeks.
- Verian published as Kantar Public until December 2023; its polls under both names are treated as one pollster.
- Polls of single electoral districts are not used. Rows for the 2023 result and for events (leadership changes, the 2025 municipal elections) are skipped.
- Government v opposition: the sum of the party averages for the four Orpo cabinet parties and for the other parties. It is a vote share, not a seat count.
- No seat projection: seats are allocated by D'Hondt in 13 districts, and there are no district polls.
- Finland has no legal ban on publishing polls before an election, so this page keeps updating until election day.
- Independence: Sondagio's founder has no ties to any candidate or campaign. The averages are calculated by formula from every published poll; no figures are adjusted by hand.
- Sources: Opinion polling for the 2027 Finnish parliamentary election (Wikipedia) (CC BY-SA 4.0); 2027 Finnish parliamentary election (Wikipedia), election date (CC BY-SA 4.0); Orpo cabinet (Wikipedia), government parties (CC BY-SA 4.0); Ministry of Justice, 2023 parliamentary elections results. Poll compilation from Wikipedia, licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0. Each poll row links to the original release.