Spain regional elections 2027: polls
PP leads in five, PSOE in one and UPN in one of seven regions.
On 23 May 2027 Asturias, Cantabria, Castilla-La Mancha, La Rioja, Madrid, Murcia and Navarre elect their regional parliaments, on the same day as Spain's municipal elections. The PP tops the polls in Asturias, Cantabria, La Rioja, Madrid and Murcia. The PSOE tops the polls in Castilla-La Mancha. UPN tops the polls in Navarre. Each region's figures are the average of its recent polls or, where only one recent poll exists, that single poll; the newest of all finished fieldwork on . Valencian Community, Balearic Islands and Canary Islands have not yet set their date: they must vote by 27 June 2027 and will be added here if they choose 23 May.
- 7regions vote on 23 May
- 384regional seats at stake
- 94polls published
- 2where the governing party is not ahead
Polls by region
Party ahead in the polls · vote estimate| Region | Ahead in the polls | Estimate | Lead | Seats (majority) | Governs now | Latest poll | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asturias |  PP | 33.2% | +0.2 over PSOE | 16–17 of 45 (23) | PSOE · Adrián Barbón | average of 2 polls | |
| Cantabria | PP | 34.2% | +15.2 over PSOE | 14–15 of 35 (18) | PP · María José Sáenz de Buruaga | one poll only (Sigma Dos) | |
| Castilla-La Mancha |  PSOE | 43.3% | +12.9 over PP | 16–18 of 33 (17) | PSOE · Emiliano García-Page | one poll only (SocioMétrica) | |
| La Rioja | PP | 43.4% | +18.2 over PSOE | 17 of 33 (17) | PP · Gonzalo Capellán | one poll only (EM-Analytics) | |
| Madrid | PP | 48.6% | +29.2 over PSOE | 73 of 143 (72) | PP · Isabel Díaz Ayuso | average of 3 polls | |
| Murcia | PP | 43.1% | +17.7 over Vox | 21–22 of 45 (23) | PP · Fernando López Miras | one poll only (CEMOP) | |
| Navarre |  UPN | 29.2% | +7.5 over PSN | 16 of 50 (26) | PSN · María Chivite | one poll only (EM-Analytics) |
Seats: what the latest poll that publishes seats gives the leading party (absolute majority in brackets); Sondagio does not make its own regional seat projection. Latest poll: end of fieldwork.
What is at stake on 23 May 2027
Spain is divided into 17 autonomous communities (plus the autonomous cities of Ceuta and Melilla). Each has its own parliament and government, which run most of health, education and social services. Voters elect the regional parliament by proportional representation from party lists; the parliament then elects the regional president, so a party short of an absolute majority needs allies or abstentions to win the investiture vote.
Most communities vote every four years on the fourth Sunday of May, alongside the municipal elections. In 2027 that is seven of them: Asturias (45 seats), Cantabria (35 seats), Castilla-La Mancha (33 seats), La Rioja (33 seats), Madrid (143 seats), Murcia (45 seats) and Navarre (50 seats). Andalusia, Aragon, Castile and León and Extremadura voted in 2025 or 2026, and Catalonia, Galicia and the Basque Country keep their own calendars. Valencian Community, Balearic Islands and Canary Islands can vote the same day or on another date before 27 June.
Regional results are widely read as a barometer for the national parties. For Spain as a whole, see the Spain general election poll average.
How we calculate
- In each region the average uses each pollster's latest poll with fieldwork ending in the 90 days before that region's newest poll. Where there is only one, we show that poll and label it “one poll only”.
- Polls commissioned by a party, and polls that only publish seats, are left out of the average.
- Spanish electoral law (LOREG, art. 69.7) bans publishing polls in Spain from 18 to 22 May 2027; during those days the figures are frozen.
- Data: polls compiled on Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0), with a link to each original publication on every region's page. Party colours are indicative.
- Independence: Sondagio's founder has no ties to any candidate or campaign. The averages are calculated by formula from every published poll; no figures are adjusted by hand.
Updated .