Madrid regional election 2027: polls
PP 49%, 29 points ahead of PSOE.
The PP is on 48.6% in the polls for the regional election in the Community of Madrid on 23 May 2027, ahead of the PSOE (19.4%), based on the average of 3 polls (Data10, GAD3 and Sigma Dos; April–June 2026). The newest poll finished fieldwork on . In the Data10 poll, PP wins 73 seats of 143; an absolute majority is 72. In 2023 the PP came first with 47.3% and 70 seats.
- 48.6%PP, average
- 29.2 ptsPP lead over PSOE
- 73PP seats in the poll (absolute majority)
- 72absolute majority (of 143)
Note: few polls are published in Madrid. The newest finished fieldwork 153 days ago (); opinion may have moved since.
Madrid poll average
Vote estimate · 3 polls (Data10, GAD3 and Sigma Dos; April–June 2026) · fieldwork 24 Apr to 12 June 2026| Party | Average | Range across pollsters | Polls | Seats in the poll | 2023 vote | 2023 seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 People's Party (PP) | 48.6% | 46.7 – 50.3 | 3 | 73 | 47.3% | 70 |
 Socialist Party (PSOE) | 19.4% | 18.4 – 20.2 | 3 | 26 | 18.2% | 27 |
| Más MadridMás Madrid | 16.4% | 16.2 – 16.9 | 3 | 23 | 18.4% | 27 |
 Vox | 9.1% | 8.7 – 9.5 | 3 | 13 | 7.3% | 11 |
 Podemos | 3.4% | 2.6 – 4.2 | 3 | 0 | 4.8% | 0 |
| CsCiudadanos (Cs) | – | – | – | – | 1.6% | 0 |
Simple average of each pollster's latest poll (Data10, 11 Jun 26 – 12 Jun 26, GAD3, 7 May 26 – 14 May 26 and Sigma Dos, 24 Apr 26 – 30 Apr 26). Seats: as published by Data10 (Okdiario) in its poll of 12 June 2026; Sondagio does not make its own regional seat projection. Turnout in 2023: 65.5%.
Logos: Wikimedia Commons (public domain).
Latest Madrid polls
19 polls · vote % and seats as each pollster published them| Fieldwork | Pollster | Sample | PP | PSOE | Más Madrid | Vox | Podemos | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun 26 – 12 Jun 26 | Data10 / Okdiario | 1,500 | 50.373 seats | 18.426 seats | 16.223 seats | 9.213 seats | 2.60 seats | source ↗ |
| 7 May 26 – 14 May 26 | GAD3 / El Debate | 1,004 | 48.772 seats | 19.628 seats | 16.223 seats | 8.712 seats | 3.30 seats | source ↗ |
| 24 Apr 26 – 30 Apr 26 | Sigma Dos / El Mundo | 1,391 | 46.768–69 seats | 20.229 seats | 16.924–25 seats | 9.513–14 seats | 4.20 seats | source ↗ |
| 19 Mar 26 | Sigma Dos / Telemadrid | – | ?73–74 seats | ?27–28 seats | ?26–27 seats | ?16–17 seats | ?0 seats | source ↗ |
| 11 Nov 25 | Sigma Dos / Telemadrid | – | ?70–71 seats | ?28–29 seats | ?21–22 seats | ?13–14 seats | ?0 seats | source ↗ |
| 10 Sept 25 | Sigma Dos / Telemadrid | – | ?71–72 seats | ?29–30 seats | ?21–22 seats | ?12 seats | – | source ↗ |
| 16 May 25 – 31 May 25 | NC Report / La Razón | 500 | ?73 seats | ?26 seats | ?25 seats | ?11 seats | – | source ↗ |
| 28 May 25 | Sigma Dos / Telemadrid | – | ?73–74 seats | ?30–31 seats | ?19–20 seats | ?11 seats | – | source ↗ |
| 28 Apr 25 – 30 Apr 25 | SocioMétrica / El Español | 1,200 | 49.372 seats | 21.732 seats | 12.618 seats | 9.313 seats | 3.60 seats | source ↗ |
| 14 Apr 25 – 28 Apr 25 | Sigma Dos / El Mundo | 1,189 | 49.472–73 seats | 20.429–30 seats | 14.820–21 seats | 8.512 seats | 3.30 seats | source ↗ |
| 22 Apr 25 – 25 Apr 25 | SyM Consulting | 1,100 | 52.776 seats | 16.023 seats | 15.722–23 seats | 9.613–14 seats | 3.40 seats | source ↗ |
| 15 Apr 25 – 24 Apr 25 | GAD3 / ABC | 1,013 | 47.070 seats | 22.433 seats | 12.718 seats | 9.414 seats | 4.80 seats | source ↗ |
| 28 Oct 24 – 27 Nov 24 | EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 1,500 | 45.966 seats | 18.727 seats | 18.927 seats | 10.515 seats | 3.90 seats | source ↗ |
| 18 Oct 24 – 21 Oct 24 | SyM Consulting | 1,107 | 44.165 seats | 17.025 seats | 22.232–33 seats | 8.712–13 seats | 5.00 seats | source ↗ |
| 26 Mar 24 – 29 Apr 24 | EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 1,500 | 44.063 seats | 22.933 seats | 19.427 seats | 8.612 seats | 2.20 seats | source ↗ |
| 27 Mar 24 – 29 Mar 24 | Data10 / OKDiario | 1,500 | 47.369 seats | 17.625 seats | 21.230 seats | 8.211 seats | 2.90 seats | source ↗ |
| 21 Mar 24 – 27 Mar 24 | GAD3 / PP · commissioned by a party | 1,000 | 51.074 seats | 17.625 seats | 18.727 seats | 6.69 seats | 2.70 seats | source ↗ |
| 27 Feb 24 – 25 Mar 24 | EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 1,500 | 43.263 seats | 23.233 seats | 19.127 seats | 8.912 seats | 1.80 seats | source ↗ |
| 28 May 23 – 7 Jul 23 | EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 1,000 | 46.870 seats | 19.128 seats | 18.327 seats | 7.210 seats | 4.50 seats | source ↗ |
Vote estimate (%) and, below it, seats as projected by the pollster. “?”: the poll published seats only; such polls are not in the average. Polls commissioned by a party (GAD3/PP) are shown but not counted in the average.
What is at stake in Madrid on 23 May 2027
The Community of Madrid is one of Spain's 17 autonomous communities, with its own parliament and government. Voters elect the 143 members of the Assembly of Madrid (Asamblea de Madrid) from party lists, on the same day as municipal elections across Spain; the chamber then elects the regional president. An absolute majority is 72 seats; short of that, a party needs allies or abstentions to win the investiture vote. The current president is Isabel Díaz Ayuso (PP). Main candidates: Isabel Díaz Ayuso (PP), Mónica García (Más Madrid), Óscar López (PSOE) and José Antonio Fúster (Vox).
The parties in the polls:
- People's Party (PP): Spain's main centre-right party.
- Socialist Party (PSOE): Spain's main centre-left party.
- Más Madrid: a Madrid-based green-left party, the main opposition in the Assembly.
- Vox: the national hard-right party.
- Podemos: a left-wing party born from the 2011 anti-austerity protests.
In the 2023 election, on a turnout of 65.5%, PP won 47.3% (70 seats), Más Madrid won 18.4% (27 seats), PSOE won 18.2% (27 seats) and Vox won 7.3% (11 seats). In 2023 Podemos ran in coalition with other left-wing groups in several regions; the figure is for that list.
More polls: all of Spain's 2027 regional elections (Asturias, Cantabria, Castilla-La Mancha, La Rioja, Murcia, Navarre) and the Spain general election poll average.
How we calculate
- Average: each pollster's latest poll with fieldwork ending in the 90 days before the newest Madrid poll; a simple average by party. Few regional polls are published, so the window counts back from the newest poll, not from today. Where there is only one, we show that poll and label it “one poll only”.
- Polls commissioned by a party, and polls that only publish seats, are left out of the average. The seats shown are those of the newest poll that publishes them; Sondagio does not calculate its own seat allocation.
- Spanish electoral law (LOREG, art. 69.7) bans publishing polls in Spain in the five days before the vote (18 to 22 May 2027). During that period the figures are frozen.
- Data: every published poll, compiled on Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0); the 2023 results come from the same table. Each row links to the original publication. Party colours are indicative.
- Independence: Sondagio's founder has no ties to any candidate or campaign. The averages are calculated by formula from every published poll; no figures are adjusted by hand.
Updated .