Navarre regional election 2027: polls
UPN 29%, 8 points ahead of PSN.
UPN is on 29.2% in the polls for the regional election in Navarre on 23 May 2027, ahead of the PSN (21.7%), based on one poll only (EM-Analytics, October 2026). The newest poll finished fieldwork on . In the EM-Analytics poll, UPN wins 16 seats of 50; an absolute majority is 26. In 2023 UPN came first with 28.0% and 15 seats.
- 29.2%UPN, one poll only
- 7.5 ptsUPN lead over PSN
- 16UPN seats in the poll (short of a majority)
- 26absolute majority (of 50)
Navarre poll average
Vote estimate · one poll only (EM-Analytics, October 2026) · fieldwork 30 Sept to 29 October 2026| Party | One poll only | Range across pollsters | Polls | Seats in the poll | 2023 vote | 2023 seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Navarrese People's Union (UPN) | 29.2% | 29.2 | 1 | 16 | 28.0% | 15 |
 Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN-PSOE) | 21.7% | 21.7 | 1 | 12 | 20.7% | 11 |
 EH Bildu | 20.6% | 20.6 | 1 | 11 | 17.1% | 9 |
 People's Party (PP) | 8.8% | 8.8 | 1 | 4 | 7.3% | 3 |
| Geroa BaiGeroa Bai | 6.6% | 6.6 | 1 | 3 | 13.2% | 7 |
 Vox | 4.5% | 4.5 | 1 | 2 | 4.3% | 2 |
 Podemos | 4.2% | 4.2 | 1 | 2 | – | – |
 Sumar | 2.1% | 2.1 | 1 | 0 | – | – |
| ContigoContigo Navarra – Zurekin Nafarroa | – | – | – | – | 6.1% | 3 |
| CsCiudadanos (Cs) | – | – | – | – | 0.4% | 0 |
One poll only (EM-Analytics for Electomanía, fieldwork 30 Sept 26 – 29 Oct 26): we show its figures as published, with no averaging. Seats: as published by EM-Analytics (Electomanía) in its poll of 29 October 2026; Sondagio does not make its own regional seat projection. Turnout in 2023: 64.4%.
Logos: Wikimedia Commons (public domain).
Latest Navarre polls
11 polls · vote % and seats as each pollster published them| Fieldwork | Pollster | Sample | UPN | PSN | EH Bildu | PP | Geroa Bai | Vox | Podemos | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sept 26 – 29 Oct 26 | EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 1,245 | 29.216 seats | 21.712 seats | 20.611 seats | 8.84 seats | 6.63 seats | 4.52 seats | 4.22 seats | source ↗ |
| 18 May 26 – 21 May 26 | Sigma Dos / El Mundo | 1,087 | 27.215 seats | 18.410 seats | 17.910 seats | 7.54 seats | 10.15 seats | 6.13 seats | – | source ↗ |
| 17 Apr 26 – 13 May 26 | Gizaker / EiTB | 600 | 26.214 seats | 20.510 seats | 19.910 seats | 7.54 seats | 13.06 seats | 6.73 seats | – | source ↗ |
| 24 Dec 25 | Aztiker / EH Bildu · commissioned by a party | 993 | 24.613 seats | ?11 seats | 18.810 seats | ?4 seats | ?6 seats | 7.74 seats | – | source ↗ |
| 24 Nov 25 – 1 Dec 25 | Sigma Dos / El Mundo | 1,021 | 27.514–15 seats | 17.59–10 seats | 20.510–11 seats | 7.63–4 seats | 10.25 seats | 7.03–4 seats | – | source ↗ |
| 28 May 25 – 27 Jun 25 | EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 1,245 | 30.517 seats | 23.813 seats | 20.811 seats | 10.05 seats | 6.43 seats | 2.20 seats | 2.90 seats | source ↗ |
| 16 May 25 – 31 May 25 | NC Report / La Razón | 300 | ?15 seats | ?9 seats | ?10 seats | ?5 seats | ?6 seats | ?2 seats | – | source ↗ |
| 16 Apr 25 – 29 Apr 25 | Sigma Dos / El Mundo | 1,084 | 28.615 seats | 24.212–13 seats | 20.310–11 seats | 7.54 seats | 7.03–4 seats | 4.42 seats | – | source ↗ |
| 10 Jan 25 – 17 Jan 25 | Sigma Dos / CoCiudadana | 679 | 29.115–16 seats | 23.812–13 seats | 19.810–11 seats | 7.33–4 seats | 8.13–4 seats | 4.82 seats | – | source ↗ |
| 30 Apr 24 – 27 May 24 | EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 1,245 | 30.216 seats | 22.412 seats | 17.79 seats | 10.75 seats | 8.74 seats | 3.82 seats | 1.50 seats | source ↗ |
| 9 Apr 24 – 17 Apr 24 | CIES / UPN · commissioned by a party | 1,000 | 31.817 seats | 18.710 seats | 20.911 seats | 5.52 seats | 11.56 seats | 5.12 seats | – | source ↗ |
Vote estimate (%) and, below it, seats as projected by the pollster. “?”: the poll published seats only; such polls are not in the average. Polls commissioned by a party (Aztiker/EH Bildu and CIES/UPN) are shown but not counted in the average.
What is at stake in Navarre on 23 May 2027
Navarre is one of Spain's 17 autonomous communities, with its own parliament and government. Voters elect the 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre (Parlamento de Navarra) from party lists, on the same day as municipal elections across Spain; the chamber then elects the regional president. An absolute majority is 26 seats; short of that, a party needs allies or abstentions to win the investiture vote. The current president is María Chivite (PSN). Main candidates: Cristina Ibarrola (UPN), María Chivite (PSN), Laura Aznal (EH Bildu), Uxue Barkos (Geroa Bai) and Neniques Roldán (Contigo).
The parties in the polls:
- Navarrese People's Union (UPN): Navarre's conservative regionalist party.
- Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN-PSOE): the Navarrese branch of the centre-left PSOE.
- EH Bildu: the Basque pro-independence left coalition.
- People's Party (PP): Spain's main centre-right party.
- Geroa Bai: a centre-left Basque nationalist coalition in Navarre.
- Vox: the national hard-right party.
- Podemos: a left-wing party born from the 2011 anti-austerity protests.
- Sumar: the left-wing alliance to the left of the PSOE.
In the 2023 election, on a turnout of 64.4%, UPN won 28.0% (15 seats), PSN won 20.7% (11 seats), EH Bildu won 17.1% (9 seats), Geroa Bai won 13.2% (7 seats), PP won 7.3% (3 seats), Contigo won 6.1% (3 seats) and Vox won 4.3% (2 seats).
More polls: all of Spain's 2027 regional elections (Asturias, Cantabria, Castilla-La Mancha, La Rioja, Madrid, Murcia) and the Spain general election poll average.
How we calculate
- Average: each pollster's latest poll with fieldwork ending in the 90 days before the newest Navarre poll; a simple average by party. Few regional polls are published, so the window counts back from the newest poll, not from today. Where there is only one, we show that poll and label it “one poll only”.
- Polls commissioned by a party, and polls that only publish seats, are left out of the average. The seats shown are those of the newest poll that publishes them; Sondagio does not calculate its own seat allocation.
- Spanish electoral law (LOREG, art. 69.7) bans publishing polls in Spain in the five days before the vote (18 to 22 May 2027). During that period the figures are frozen.
- Data: every published poll, compiled on Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0); the 2023 results come from the same table. Each row links to the original publication. Party colours are indicative.
- Independence: Sondagio's founder has no ties to any candidate or campaign. The averages are calculated by formula from every published poll; no figures are adjusted by hand.
Updated .