Asturias regional election 2027: polls
PP and PSOE within 2 points.
The PP is on 33.2% in the polls for the regional election in Asturias on 23 May 2027, ahead of the PSOE (33.0%), based on the average of 2 polls (Sigma Dos and EM-Analytics; June–September 2026). The newest poll finished fieldwork on . In the Sigma Dos poll, PP wins 16–17 seats of 45; an absolute majority is 23. In 2023 the PSOE came first with 36.5% and 19 seats.
- 33.2%PP, average
- 0.2 ptsPP lead over PSOE
- 16–17PP seats in the poll (short of a majority)
- 23absolute majority (of 45)
Note: few polls are published in Asturias. The newest finished fieldwork 70 days ago (); opinion may have moved since.
Asturias poll average
Vote estimate · 2 polls (Sigma Dos and EM-Analytics; June–September 2026) · fieldwork 1 Jun to 3 September 2026| Party | Average | Range across pollsters | Polls | Seats in the poll | 2023 vote | 2023 seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 People's Party (PP) | 33.2% | 32.0 – 34.4 | 2 | 16–17 | 32.6% | 17 |
 Socialist Party (PSOE) | 33.0% | 32.4 – 33.5 | 2 | 15–17 | 36.5% | 19 |
 Vox | 15.8% | 13.6 – 17.9 | 2 | 7–9 | 10.1% | 4 |
 Sumar | 10.8% | 10.8 | 1 | – | – | – |
| IU-CxAUnited Left – Convocatoria por Asturias (IU) | 7.6% | 7.6 | 1 | 3 | 7.6% | 3 |
 Podemos | 2.8% | 2.5 – 3.0 | 2 | 0–1 | 3.9% | 1 |
| ForoForo Asturias | 1.4% | 1.4 – 1.5 | 2 | 0 | 3.7% | 1 |
| CsCiudadanos (Cs) | 0.2% | 0.2 | 1 | – | 0.9% | 0 |
| SOSSOS Asturias (España Vaciada) | – | – | – | – | 1.1% | 0 |
Simple average of each pollster's latest poll (Sigma Dos, 26 Aug 26 – 3 Sept 26 and EM-Analytics, 1 Jun 26 – 28 Jun 26). Seats: as published by Sigma Dos (El Mundo) in its poll of 3 September 2026; Sondagio does not make its own regional seat projection. Turnout in 2023: 56.8%.
Logos: Wikimedia Commons (public domain).
Latest Asturias polls
11 polls · vote % and seats as each pollster published them| Fieldwork | Pollster | Sample | PP | PSOE | Vox | Sumar | IU-CxA | Podemos | Foro | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 26 – 3 Sept 26 | Sigma Dos / El Mundo | 1,129 | 32.016–17 seats | 32.415–17 seats | 17.97–9 seats | – | 7.63 seats | 3.00–1 seats | 1.50 seats | source ↗ |
| 1 Jun 26 – 28 Jun 26 | EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 1,270 | 34.419 seats | 33.517 seats | 13.65 seats | 10.84 seats | – | 2.50 seats | 1.40 seats | source ↗ |
| 18 May 26 – 21 May 26 | Sigma Dos / El Mundo | 1,077 | 32.417–18 seats | 34.018 seats | 13.76–7 seats | – | 8.53 seats | 2.60 seats | 2.40 seats | source ↗ |
| 16 May 25 – 31 May 25 | NC Report / La Razón | 350 | ?19 seats | ?18 seats | ?4 seats | – | ?3 seats | ?1 seats | – | source ↗ |
| 5 May 25 – 19 May 25 | Sigma Dos / El Mundo | 1,003 | 33.817–19 seats | 36.618–20 seats | 9.83–4 seats | – | 8.33 seats | 4.61–2 seats | 3.61 seats | source ↗ |
| 5 Feb 25 – 17 Feb 25 | Celeste-Tel / PP · commissioned by a party | 1,000 | 35.019 seats | 34.918 seats | 12.24 seats | – | 8.03 seats | 3.41 seats | 2.90 seats | source ↗ |
| 25 Sept 24 – 23 Oct 24 | Celeste-Tel / PP · commissioned by a party | 1,000 | 35.819 seats | 35.918 seats | 10.84 seats | – | 8.63 seats | 3.01 seats | 2.40 seats | source ↗ |
| 29 Jul 24 – 28 Aug 24 | EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 1,270 | 36.220 seats | 35.218 seats | 8.93 seats | 10.34 seats | – | 2.60 seats | 3.40 seats | source ↗ |
| 13 Mar 24 – 21 Mar 24 | GAD3 / PP · commissioned by a party | 1,000 | 37.418–20 seats | 36.118–20 seats | 8.83 seats | – | 7.83 seats | 3.41 seats | 2.30 seats | source ↗ |
| 26 Jan 24 – 8 Feb 24 | Celeste-Tel / PP · commissioned by a party | 1,270 | 34.819 seats | 36.218 seats | 9.94 seats | – | 7.43 seats | 3.01 seats | 3.20 seats | source ↗ |
| 26 Sept 23 – 29 Oct 23 | EM-Analytics / Electomanía | 1,270 | 32.217 seats | 37.420 seats | 9.63 seats | – | 8.33 seats | 3.61 seats | 3.61 seats | source ↗ |
Vote estimate (%) and, below it, seats as projected by the pollster. “?”: the poll published seats only; such polls are not in the average. Polls commissioned by a party (Celeste-Tel/PP and GAD3/PP) are shown but not counted in the average.
What is at stake in Asturias on 23 May 2027
Asturias is one of Spain's 17 autonomous communities, with its own parliament and government. Voters elect the 45 members of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias (Junta General del Principado de Asturias) from party lists, on the same day as municipal elections across Spain; the chamber then elects the regional president. An absolute majority is 23 seats; short of that, a party needs allies or abstentions to win the investiture vote. The current president is Adrián Barbón (PSOE). Main candidates: Adrián Barbón (PSOE), Álvaro Queipo (PP), Carolina López (Vox), Ovidio Zapico (IU-CxA) and Adrián Pumares (Foro).
The parties in the polls:
- People's Party (PP): Spain's main centre-right party.
- Socialist Party (PSOE): Spain's main centre-left party.
- Vox: the national hard-right party.
- Sumar: the left-wing alliance to the left of the PSOE.
- United Left – Convocatoria por Asturias (IU): the Asturian list of the communist-rooted United Left.
- Podemos: a left-wing party born from the 2011 anti-austerity protests.
- Foro Asturias: a centre-right Asturian regionalist party.
- Ciudadanos (Cs): a liberal party that has largely collapsed since 2019.
In the 2023 election, on a turnout of 56.8%, PSOE won 36.5% (19 seats), PP won 32.6% (17 seats), Vox won 10.1% (4 seats), IU-CxA won 7.6% (3 seats), Podemos won 3.9% (1 seat) and Foro won 3.7% (1 seat). In 2023 Podemos ran in coalition with other left-wing groups in several regions; the figure is for that list.
More polls: all of Spain's 2027 regional elections (Cantabria, Castilla-La Mancha, La Rioja, Madrid, Murcia, Navarre) and the Spain general election poll average.
How we calculate
- Average: each pollster's latest poll with fieldwork ending in the 90 days before the newest Asturias poll; a simple average by party. Few regional polls are published, so the window counts back from the newest poll, not from today. Where there is only one, we show that poll and label it “one poll only”.
- Polls commissioned by a party, and polls that only publish seats, are left out of the average. The seats shown are those of the newest poll that publishes them; Sondagio does not calculate its own seat allocation.
- Spanish electoral law (LOREG, art. 69.7) bans publishing polls in Spain in the five days before the vote (18 to 22 May 2027). During that period the figures are frozen.
- Data: every published poll, compiled on Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0); the 2023 results come from the same table. Each row links to the original publication. Party colours are indicative.
- Independence: Sondagio's founder has no ties to any candidate or campaign. The averages are calculated by formula from every published poll; no figures are adjusted by hand.
Updated .