sondagSee the elections

Hamburg state polls

Next state election: 2030Hamburg Bürgerschaft
Polls

SPD 30%, Grüne 18%.

The SPD leads the Sondagio average in Hamburg on 30.0% (2025 election: 33.5%), ahead of the Greens on 17.5%. The average takes the latest poll from 2 pollsters in the 6 months before the newest poll, dated 27 September 2026.

Latest pollTrend Research Hamburg for Radio Hamburg · · 975 respondents
SPD 29%Grüne 18%Linke 15%AfD 14%CDU 12%FDP 3%
source ↗All polls →

Polling average

% of the vote · compared with the 2025 election
PartyAverageRangeElection 2025Change
SPD30.0%29.0 – 31.033.5%−3.5
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen17.5%17.0 – 18.018.5%−1.0
Die Linke14.5%14.0 – 15.011.2%+3.3
CDU14.0%12.0 – 16.019.8%−5.8
AfD13.0%12.0 – 14.07.5%+5.5
FDP3.0% · below 5%3.0 – 3.02.3%+0.7

Pollsters in the average: Trend Research Hamburg, INSA. Threshold: 5% of the vote.

All polls

3 polls since the 2025 election · newest first
FieldworkPollsterSample SPD Grüne Linke CDU AfD FDPSource
22 Sept 26 – 27 Sept 26Trend Research Hamburg97529181512143source ↗
2 Jun 26 – 9 Jun 26INSA1,00031171416123source ↗
19 Mar 26 – 23 Mar 26Infratest dimap1,1523020122010–source ↗
2 Mar 252025 election–33.518.511.219.87.52.3–

Other states

Polls in all 16 states and nationally

How we calculate it