North Rhine-Westphalia state election 2027: polls
Landtag of North Rhine-Westphalia · 181 seats
Polls-164days to the election
CDU 29%, AfD 20%.
The CDU leads the Sondagio average in North Rhine-Westphalia on 29.0% (2022 election: 35.7%), ahead of the AfD on 20.0%. The average takes the latest poll from 3 pollsters in the 6 months before the newest poll, dated 13 October 2026.
Latest pollINSA · · 1,000 respondents
CDU 26%AfD 21%SPD 18%Grüne 16%Linke 10%FDP 4%
Polling average
% of the vote · compared with the 2022 election| Party | Average | Range | Election 2022 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU | 29.0% | 26.0 – 32.0 | 35.7% | −6.7 |
| AfD | 20.0% | 17.0 – 22.0 | 5.4% | +14.6 |
| SPD | 16.3% | 14.0 – 18.0 | 26.7% | −10.4 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 16.3% | 15.0 – 18.0 | 18.2% | −1.9 |
| Die Linke | 8.0% | 6.0 – 10.0 | 2.1% | +5.9 |
| FDP | 4.0% · below 5% | 3.0 – 5.0 | 5.9% | −1.9 |
Pollsters in the average: INSA, Forsa, Infratest dimap. Threshold: 5% of the vote. The Landtag has at least 181 seats; overhang and balance seats can enlarge it.
All polls
28 polls since the 2022 election · newest first| Fieldwork | Pollster | Sample | CDU | AfD | SPD | Grüne | Linke | FDP | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 26 – 13 Oct 26 | INSA | 1,000 | 26 | 21 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 4 | source ↗ |
| 7 Sept 26 – 18 Sept 26 | Forsa | 1,030 | 29 | 22 | 14 | 18 | 8 | 3 | source ↗ |
| 22 Jun 26 – 25 Jun 26 | Infratest dimap | 1,139 | 32 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 5 | source ↗ |
| 30 Apr 26 – 5 May 26 | INSA | 1,000 | 34 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 4 | source ↗ |
| 7 Apr 26 – 14 Apr 26 | Forsa | 1,531 | 32 | 20 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 3 | source ↗ |
| 26 Jan 26 – 29 Jan 26 | Infratest dimap | 1,164 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 4 | source ↗ |
| 11 Nov 25 – 18 Nov 25 | INSA | 1,000 | 36 | 16 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 5 | source ↗ |
| 13 Aug 25 – 19 Aug 25 | INSA | 1,000 | 35 | 16 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 4 | source ↗ |
| 25 Jun 25 – 2 Jul 25 | Forsa | 1,507 | 38 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 3 | source ↗ |
| 23 Jun 25 – 26 Jun 25 | Infratest dimap | 1,165 | 39 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 3 | source ↗ |
| 26 Nov 24 – 4 Dec 24 | Forsa | 1,508 | 41 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 3 | source ↗ |
| 8 Oct 24 – 10 Oct 24 | Infratest dimap | 1,167 | 40 | 13 | 18 | 14 | – | 3 | source ↗ |
| 23 Jul 24 – 1 Aug 24 | Forsa | 1,060 | 40 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 5 | source ↗ |
| 22 Apr 24 – 25 Apr 24 | Infratest dimap | 1,181 | 38 | 11 | 19 | 17 | – | 5 | source ↗ |
| 5 Mar 24 – 14 Mar 24 | Forsa | 1,502 | 37 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 2 | 4 | source ↗ |
| 30 Oct 23 – 2 Nov 23 | Infratest dimap | 1,161 | 35 | 14 | 18 | 18 | – | 5 | source ↗ |
| 27 Aug 23 – 2 Sept 23 | Wahlkreisprognose | 1,100 | 33.5 | 18 | 19.5 | 16.5 | 2 | 4.5 | source ↗ |
| 12 Jun 23 – 15 Jun 23 | Infratest dimap | 1,159 | 32 | 15 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 6 | source ↗ |
| 29 May 23 – 7 Jun 23 | Forsa | 1,506 | 37 | 13 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 5 | source ↗ |
| 24 Apr 23 – 2 May 23 | INSA | 1,000 | 36 | 9 | 22 | 17 | 3 | 7 | source ↗ |
| 27 Mar 23 – 28 Mar 23 | Forsa | 1,005 | 38 | 8 | 20 | 17 | 4 | 5 | source ↗ |
| 23 Jan 23 – 31 Jan 23 | Forsa | 1,006 | 36 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 3 | 5 | source ↗ |
| 7 Nov 22 – 11 Nov 22 | Wahlkreisprognose | 1,400 | 31 | 12.5 | 24.5 | 19 | 1.5 | 5.5 | source ↗ |
| 17 Oct 22 – 20 Oct 22 | Infratest dimap | 1,185 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 22 | – | 5 | source ↗ |
| 21 Sept 22 – 26 Sept 22 | Forsa | 1,511 | 36 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 3 | 5 | source ↗ |
| 15 Aug 22 – 22 Aug 22 | INSA | 1,000 | 36 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 3 | 7 | source ↗ |
| 27 Jun 22 – 30 Jun 22 | Wahlkreisprognose | 1,040 | 37 | 6 | 27.5 | 15.5 | 2 | 6 | source ↗ |
| 16 May 22 | Forsa | 1,008 | 36 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 2 | 5 | source ↗ |
| 15 May 22 | 2022 election | – | 35.7 | 5.4 | 26.7 | 18.2 | 2.1 | 5.9 | – |
Other states
Polls in all 16 states and nationally- Saarland state election · 18 April 2027
- Schleswig-Holstein state election · 18 April 2027
- Bremen state election · 30 May 2027
- Lower Saxony state election · 26 September 2027
- Bavaria state polls · 2028
- Hesse state polls · 2028
- Brandenburg state polls · 2029
- Saxony state polls · 2029
- Thuringia state polls · 2029
- Hamburg state polls · 2030
- Baden-Württemberg state polls · 2031
- Berlin state polls · 2031
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state polls · 2031
- Rhineland-Palatinate state polls · 2031
- Saxony-Anhalt state polls · 2031
- Germany federal election polls
How we calculate it
- Average: each pollster's latest poll with fieldwork ending in the 180 days before the newest poll; simple mean per party. State polls are rare, so the window is longer than for the federal average.
- Data: every published poll, as compiled on Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0). Each row links to the original publication.
- No blackout: polls may be published up to election day; only exit polls are banned before 6 pm.
- Independence: Sondagio's founder has no ties to any candidate, party or campaign. Nothing is adjusted by hand. Full method →