Bruno Retailleau 2027 polls: French presidential election
Retailleau 7%, 5th in the first round.
As of , Bruno Retailleau (Les Républicains (LR), the traditional right-wing party) has 7.3% of first-round voting intention for the 2027 presidential election, in 5th place, on the Sondagio average of the latest poll from each of 7 pollsters (scenario with Édouard Philippe as the only centrist candidate). Individual pollsters put Retailleau between 6.5% and 8.0%. Across every scenario tested (44 published since 1 Oct), Retailleau's score ranges from 4.0% to 11.5%.
- 7.3%Sondagio average
- 5thfirst-round rank
- 7–8range across pollsters
- 19polls tracked
Who is Bruno Retailleau?
Leader of Les Républicains and a senator; he was interior minister from 2024 to 2025.
Bruno Retailleau in the polls: trend
First round · % of valid votesSame-pollster comparison: of the 5 pollsters with at least two polls in the last twelve months, 0 have Retailleau at least a point higher in their latest poll than in their first, 1 at least a point lower and 4 within a point.
Every Bruno Retailleau poll
Reference scenario · newest first| Fieldwork end | Pollster | Commissioned by | Retailleau | Notice |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 November 2026 | Toluna Harris Interactive | – | 8.0 | notice ↗ |
| 29 October 2026 | Ifop | LCI | 7.0 | notice ↗ |
| 22 October 2026 | Ipsos BVA | Le Parisien | 8.0 | notice ↗ |
| 22 October 2026 | Cluster17 | Politico | 7.9 | notice ↗ |
| 21 October 2026 | Toluna Harris Interactive | – | 7.0 | notice ↗ |
| 19 October 2026 | Ifop | – | 7.5 | notice ↗ |
| 16 October 2026 | Elabe | – | 7.0 | notice ↗ |
| 15 October 2026 | YouGov | Le HuffPost | 7.0 | notice ↗ |
| 8 October 2026 | Toluna Harris Interactive | – | 7.0 | notice ↗ |
| 7 October 2026 | Odoxa | Public Sénat, presse régionale, Le Nouvel Obs | 6.5 | notice ↗ |
| 29 September 2026 | Ifop | – | 8.0 | notice ↗ |
| 16 September 2026 | Cluster17 | Politico | 7.4 | notice ↗ |
| 10 September 2026 | Toluna Harris Interactive | RTL | 7.0 | notice ↗ |
| 3 September 2026 | OpinionWay | JDD | 8.0 | notice ↗ |
| 2 September 2026 | Ipsos BVA | Le Parisien | 7.5 | notice ↗ |
| 1 September 2026 | Cluster17 | Le Point | 7.1 | notice ↗ |
| 28 August 2026 | Elabe | – | 6.5 | notice ↗ |
| 25 August 2026 | Ifop | – | 8.0 | notice ↗ |
| 8 July 2026 | Toluna Harris Interactive | RTL | 8.0 | notice ↗ |
Notices are the methodology filings published by the Commission des sondages (in French).
The other candidates
How we calculate
- Average: the latest poll from each pollster in the reference scenario, from the notices French pollsters must file with the Commission des sondages, the official poll regulator.
- Second round: the poll average of each tested match-up, alongside a Sondagio model built from measured vote transfers (polls and the 2024 run-offs). The model is an estimate, not a poll.
- Independence: Sondagio's founder has no ties to any candidate or campaign. The averages are calculated by formula from every published poll; no figures are adjusted by hand.
Photo: Anthonymontardyfr, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons, cropped and halftoned.