Marine Tondelier 2027 polls: French presidential election
Tondelier 3%, 7th in the first round.
As of , Marine Tondelier (Les Écologistes, the Green party) has 3.3% of first-round voting intention for the 2027 presidential election, in 7th place, on the Sondagio average of the latest poll from each of 7 pollsters (scenario with Édouard Philippe as the only centrist candidate). Individual pollsters put Tondelier between 2.0% and 6.0%. Across every scenario tested (43 published since 1 Oct), Tondelier's score ranges from 1.0% to 6.0%.
- 3.3%Sondagio average
- 7thfirst-round rank
- 2–6range across pollsters
- 19polls tracked
Who is Marine Tondelier?
National secretary of Les Écologistes since 2022.
Marine Tondelier in the polls: trend
First round · % of valid votesSame-pollster comparison: of the 5 pollsters with at least two polls in the last twelve months, 0 have Tondelier at least a point higher in their latest poll than in their first, 2 at least a point lower and 3 within a point.
Every Marine Tondelier poll
Reference scenario · newest first| Fieldwork end | Pollster | Commissioned by | Tondelier | Notice |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 November 2026 | Toluna Harris Interactive | – | 2.0 | notice ↗ |
| 29 October 2026 | Ifop | LCI | 3.5 | notice ↗ |
| 22 October 2026 | Ipsos BVA | Le Parisien | 3.5 | notice ↗ |
| 22 October 2026 | Cluster17 | Politico | 2.3 | notice ↗ |
| 21 October 2026 | Toluna Harris Interactive | – | 2.0 | notice ↗ |
| 19 October 2026 | Ifop | – | 3.0 | notice ↗ |
| 16 October 2026 | Elabe | – | 3.0 | notice ↗ |
| 15 October 2026 | YouGov | Le HuffPost | 6.0 | notice ↗ |
| 8 October 2026 | Toluna Harris Interactive | – | 3.0 | notice ↗ |
| 7 October 2026 | Odoxa | Public Sénat, presse régionale, Le Nouvel Obs | 3.0 | notice ↗ |
| 29 September 2026 | Ifop | – | 3.0 | notice ↗ |
| 16 September 2026 | Cluster17 | Politico | 2.6 | notice ↗ |
| 10 September 2026 | Toluna Harris Interactive | RTL | 3.0 | notice ↗ |
| 3 September 2026 | OpinionWay | JDD | 4.0 | notice ↗ |
| 2 September 2026 | Ipsos BVA | Le Parisien | 4.0 | notice ↗ |
| 1 September 2026 | Cluster17 | Le Point | 3.6 | notice ↗ |
| 28 August 2026 | Elabe | – | 3.5 | notice ↗ |
| 25 August 2026 | Ifop | – | 3.0 | notice ↗ |
| 8 July 2026 | Toluna Harris Interactive | RTL | 3.0 | notice ↗ |
Notices are the methodology filings published by the Commission des sondages (in French).
The other candidates
How we calculate
- Average: the latest poll from each pollster in the reference scenario, from the notices French pollsters must file with the Commission des sondages, the official poll regulator.
- Second round: the poll average of each tested match-up, alongside a Sondagio model built from measured vote transfers (polls and the 2024 run-offs). The model is an estimate, not a poll.
- Independence: Sondagio's founder has no ties to any candidate or campaign. The averages are calculated by formula from every published poll; no figures are adjusted by hand.
Photo: Selbymay, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons, cropped and halftoned.