Gavin Newsom 2028 polls
Democratic presidential primaryNational average · 15 states polled
PollsNewsom 14%, 2nd.
As of , Gavin Newsom has 13.5% in the Sondagio average of national 2028 Democratic primary polls, 2nd of 10 names polled, 9.8 points behind Kamala Harris (23.3%). Every poll in the average included Newsom.
- 13.5%national average
- 2ndof 10 in the Democratic field
- 9–20range across pollsters
- 15states with a poll naming them
Gavin Newsom in 2028 primary polls over time
Weekly average · nationalGavin Newsom in state primary polls
Latest poll naming them, by state| State | Pollster | Newsom | Place | Leader | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire · Oct 2026 | Saint Anselm College | 8% | 5th | Buttigieg 28% | source ↗ |
| California · Oct 2026 | McLaughlin & Associates | 14% | 3rd | AOC 18% | source ↗ |
| Texas · Sep 2026 | Big Data Poll | 16.5% | 2nd | Harris 31% | source ↗ |
| Michigan · Jul 2026 | Glengariff Group | 10.1% | 4th | Harris 25% | source ↗ |
| North Carolina · Sep 2026 | Big Data Poll | 14% | 3rd | Harris 31% | source ↗ |
| Ohio · Sep 2026 | Big Data Poll | 16.2% | 2nd | Harris 22% | source ↗ |
| Alaska · Oct 2025 | Alaska Survey Research | 23% | 1st | — | source ↗ |
| Florida · Jun 2025 | Victory Insights | 12% | 3rd | Buttigieg 23% | source ↗ |
| Georgia · Sep 2026 | Big Data Poll | 12.9% | 3rd | Ossoff 30% | source ↗ |
| Maine · Oct 2025 | University of New Hampshire | 16% | 1st | — | source ↗ |
| Massachusetts · Aug 2026 | Suffolk University | 11.8% | 3rd | Buttigieg 21% | source ↗ |
| Minnesota · Sep 2026 | Big Data Poll | 10.5% | 4th | Harris 24% | source ↗ |
| Nevada · Nov 2025 | Emerson College | 36.9% | 1st | — | source ↗ |
| Tennessee · Aug 2026 | Targoz Market Research | 18% | 2nd | Harris 30% | source ↗ |
| Vermont · Oct 2025 | University of New Hampshire | 17% | 1st | — | source ↗ |
National polls naming Gavin Newsom
40 of the latest 40 · newest first| Fieldwork | Pollster | Sample | Newsom | Place | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 – Nov 5 | McLaughlin & Associates | 471 LV | 16 | 2nd of 10 | source ↗ |
| Oct 28 – Nov 1 | AtlasIntel | 3,566 LV | 9 | 6th of 10 | source ↗ |
| Oct 24 – Oct 26 | Harvard Harris | RV | 20 | 2nd of 7 | source ↗ |
| Oct 23 – Oct 25 | Leger | 375 A | 11 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Oct 12 – Oct 19 | New York Times · Siena | 1,170 RV | 9 | 2nd of 10 | source ↗ |
| Oct 15 – Oct 19 | Echelon Insights | 522 LV | 14 | 2nd of 10 | source ↗ |
| Oct 5 – Oct 7 | Noble Predictive Insights · The Center Square | 1,171 RV | 14 | 2nd of 10 | source ↗ |
| Sep 26 – Sep 28 | Harvard Harris | RV | 17 | 2nd of 7 | source ↗ |
| Sep 26 – Sep 28 | Focaldata · Financial Times | 778 LV | 15 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Sep 16 – Sep 22 | McLaughlin & Associates | 463 LV | 12 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Sep 17 – Sep 21 | Echelon Insights | 491 LV | 14 | 2nd of 9 | source ↗ |
| Sep 13 – Sep 15 | Big Data Poll | 1,329 LV | 16 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Sep 7 – Sep 13 | Veteran Action · The Honest Poll | 626 LV | 21 | 2nd of 6 | source ↗ |
| Sep 3 – Sep 10 | Liberal Currents · Center for Strategic Politics | 683 V | 15 | 2nd of 9 | source ↗ |
| Aug 28 – Sep 2 | Focaldata | 614 LV | 14 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Aug 25 – Sep 1 | Bowling Green State University · YouGov | 566 LV | 14 | 3rd of 10 | source ↗ |
| Aug 28 – Aug 30 | Morning Consult | RV | 12 | 2nd of 4 | source ↗ |
| Aug 28 – Aug 30 | Harvard Harris | 2,100 RV | 18 | 2nd of 7 | source ↗ |
| Aug 26 – Aug 28 | Quantus Insights | 551 LV | 7.1 | 5th of 5 | source ↗ |
| Aug 18 – Aug 24 | McLaughlin & Associates | 474 LV | 16 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Aug 13 – Aug 17 | Echelon Insights | 483 LV | 12 | 3rd of 10 | source ↗ |
| Aug 12 – Aug 16 | Noble Predictive Insights | 930 RV | 14 | 2nd of 9 | source ↗ |
| Aug 7 – Aug 11 | Focaldata | 616 LV | 15 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Aug 2 – Aug 4 | Rasmussen Reports | 1,222 LV | 14 | 2nd of 6 | source ↗ |
| Jul 24 – Jul 27 | Big Data Poll | 1,338 LV | 14.3 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Jul 15 – Jul 21 | McLaughlin & Associates | 472 LV | 18 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Jul 20 | J.L. Partners | 517 RV | 15 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Jul 19 – Jul 20 | Emerson College | 574 LV | 17 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Jul 9 – Jul 13 | Echelon Insights | 496 LV | 14 | 2nd of 7 | source ↗ |
| Jul 11 – Jul 12 | Harvard Harris | 1,776 RV | 24 | 2nd of 6 | source ↗ |
| Jul 8 – Jul 10 | YouGov | 485 A | 13 | 2nd of 10 | source ↗ |
| Jul 3 – Jul 7 | Quantus Insights | 1,140 LV | 17.7 | 2nd of 5 | source ↗ |
| Jul 1 – Jul 6 | Manhattan Institute | 1,121 LV | 15 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Jul 1 – Jul 4 | Zogby Analytics | 391 LV | 19 | 2nd of 7 | source ↗ |
| Jun 26 – Jun 30 | Focaldata | 755 LV | 15 | 2nd of 9 | source ↗ |
| Jun 24 – Jun 26 | Daily Mail · J.L. Partners | 1,040 RV | 15 | 2nd of 10 | source ↗ |
| Jun 17 – Jun 23 | McLaughlin & Associates | 464 LV | 16 | 2nd of 8 | source ↗ |
| Jun 11 – Jun 14 | Echelon Insights | 515 LV | 14 | 3rd of 10 | source ↗ |
| Jun 1 – Jun 4 | Noble Predictive Insights | 1,013 RV | 14 | 2nd of 6 | source ↗ |
| May 29 – Jun 1 | Focaldata | 685 RV | 17 | 2nd of 9 | source ↗ |
The rest of the 2028 Democratic field
National average- Kamala Harris 23.3%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10.2%
- Pete Buttigieg 10.2%
- Jon Ossoff 7.8%
- Mark Kelly 5.8%
- Josh Shapiro 4.8%
- JB Pritzker 3.2%
- Andy Beshear 2.6%
- Cory Booker 2.1%
More on the 2028 race
Primary polls · national averages2028 Democratic primary polls →Harris 23% · Newsom 14% · AOC 10%
2028 Republican primary polls →Vance 39% · Rubio 23% · Trump Jr. 12%
How we calculate
- Average: each pollster's latest national poll with fieldwork ending in the 45 days before the newest poll, over the polls that named Gavin Newsom. Most of these names have not formally entered the race.
- Data: every published poll, compiled on Wikipedia (national, by state; CC BY-SA 4.0). Each row links to the original release.
- Independence: Sondagio's founder has no ties to any candidate or campaign. No figures are adjusted by hand.