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Spain election 2026 in Álava: polls and seat projection

Basque Country4 seats
D-16days to the election

PSOE estimated first in Álava, 27%.

As of 12 November 2026, PSOE is estimated at 26.7% in the constituency of Álava for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 19.3% for EH Bildu, according to the Sondagio model. The 4 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PSOE 1–2, EH Bildu 1, PP 1 and PNV 0–1. PSOE tops the vote in 86% of simulations (EH Bildu in 7% and PP in 7%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PSOE came first in Álava with 27.7% (official result).
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Estimate and seats in Álava

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PSOE26.722.1–31.11–286%
EH Bildu19.315.7–22.917%
PP19.115.3–23.017%
PNV10.98.5–13.50–1–
Frente Amplio8.86.8–11.20–
Vox7.55.8–9.50–
Podemos3.62.7–4.60–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Álava. Method.

The parties in Álava

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezJavier Hurtado Domínguez
EH Bilduleft-wing Basque pro-independence coalitionMikel Otero Gabirondo
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018Iñaki Oyarzábal De Miguel
PNVBasque Nationalist Party, moderate and centre-rightGorka Urtaran Agirre
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersJosé Damián García-Moreno López
Voxradical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalismJonathan Romero Gámiz
Podemosradical-left party that broke away from SumarGarbiñe Ruiz Noriega

14 lists stand for Congress in Álava. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Álava

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PSOE27.71
EH Bildu19.51
PP17.91
PNV16.61
Sumar12.70
Vox3.90

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Nearby constituencies

Also in Basque Country: Biscay, Gipuzkoa. Neighbouring provinces in other regions: Navarre, La Rioja, Burgos.

Questions about the election in Álava

How many seats does Álava elect?
Álava elects 4 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Álava according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PSOE comes first in Álava with 26.7% (between 22.1% and 31.1% in 80% of simulations), ahead of EH Bildu on 19.3%. PSOE tops the vote in 86% of the 2,000 simulations; EH Bildu in 7% and PP in 7%. Estimated seats: PSOE 1–2, EH Bildu 1, PP 1 and PNV 0–1.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Álava?
Javier Hurtado Domínguez (PSOE), Iñaki Oyarzábal De Miguel (PP), Mikel Otero Gabirondo (EH Bildu) and Gorka Urtaran Agirre (PNV). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 14 lists stand for Congress in Álava.
Are there polls of Álava for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Álava. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Álava: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Álava at the 2023 general election?
PSOE topped the vote in Álava on 23 July 2023 with 27.7% of valid votes. Seats: PP 1, PSOE 1, EH Bildu 1 and PNV 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

All 52 constituencies