Spain election 2026 in Cantabria: polls and seat projection
PP estimated first in Cantabria, 40%.
As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 39.9% in the constituency of Cantabria for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 28.3% for PSOE, according to the Sondagio model. The 5 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 2–3, PSOE 1–2 and Vox 1. PP tops the vote in 94% of simulations (PSOE in 6%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.
- 39.9%PP, estimated
- 28.3%PSOE, estimated
- 5seats at stake
- 42.1%PP in 2023
Spanish page, with every list and the municipalities →
← Spain election 2026, national average
Estimate and seats in Cantabria
Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold| Party | Estimated vote, % | 80% range | Seats | Tops the vote |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | 39.9 | 34.6–44.6 | 2–3 | 94% |
| PSOE | 28.3 | 23.3–33.5 | 1–2 | 6% |
| Vox | 22.0 | 18.0–26.0 | 1 | – |
| Frente Amplio | 5.0 | 3.8–6.5 | 0 | – |
Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Cantabria. Method.
The parties in Cantabria
who they are · who heads the list| Party | Who they are | Heads the list |
|---|---|---|
| PP | the main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018 | María Isabel Urrutía de los Mozos |
| PSOE | the centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez | Susana Herrán Martín |
| Vox | radical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalism | Emilio Jesús Del Valle Rodríguez |
| Frente Amplio | left-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and others | María Carmen Martín García |
7 lists stand for Congress in Cantabria. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →
2023 general election result in Cantabria
| Party | % of votes | Seats |
|---|---|---|
| PP | 42.1 | 2 |
| PSOE | 33.3 | 2 |
| Vox | 14.1 | 1 |
| Sumar | 8.5 | 0 |
Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).
Nearby constituencies
Neighbouring provinces: Asturias, León, Palencia, Burgos, Biscay.
Questions about the election in Cantabria
- How many seats does Cantabria elect?
- Cantabria elects 5 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
- Who is ahead in Cantabria according to the polls?
- In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Cantabria with 39.9% (between 34.6% and 44.6% in 80% of simulations), ahead of PSOE on 28.3%. PP tops the vote in 94% of the 2,000 simulations; PSOE in 6%. Estimated seats: PP 2–3, PSOE 1–2 and Vox 1.
- Who heads the lists for Congress in Cantabria?
- María Isabel Urrutía de los Mozos (PP), Susana Herrán Martín (PSOE) and Emilio Jesús Del Valle Rodríguez (Vox). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 7 lists stand for Congress in Cantabria.
- Are there polls of Cantabria for the general election?
- Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Cantabria. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Cantabria: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
- When is Spain's general election?
- Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
- Who won in Cantabria at the 2023 general election?
- PP topped the vote in Cantabria on 23 July 2023 with 42.1% of valid votes. Seats: PP 2, PSOE 2 and Vox 1 (official result).
More on Spain's election
- Spain election 2026: the national poll averageSeat projection for the 350-seat Congress and possible majorities
- Spain election 2023 resultsMap and seats, province by province
- Spain's regional elections, 2027
- How close polls came to results
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