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Spain election 2026 in Guadalajara: polls and seat projection

Castilla-La Mancha3 seats
D-16days to the election

PP estimated first in Guadalajara, 33%.

As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 32.8% in the constituency of Guadalajara for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 27.8% for Vox, according to the Sondagio model. The 3 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 1, Vox 1 and PSOE 1. PP tops the vote in 68% of simulations (Vox in 17% and PSOE in 15%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PP came first in Guadalajara with 36.3% (official result).
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Estimate and seats in Guadalajara

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PP32.827.7–37.6168%
Vox27.823.1–32.4117%
PSOE26.821.9–31.9115%
Frente Amplio5.24.0–6.90–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Guadalajara. Method.

The parties in Guadalajara

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018Itziar Asenjo Domínguez
Voxradical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalismÁngel López Maraver
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezMaría Jesús Merino Poyo
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersErnesto Martín Doménech

10 lists stand for Congress in Guadalajara. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Guadalajara

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PP36.31
PSOE33.01
Vox19.31
Sumar9.20

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Nearby constituencies

Also in Castilla-La Mancha: Albacete, Ciudad Real, Cuenca, Toledo. Neighbouring provinces in other regions: Madrid, Segovia, Soria, Zaragoza, Teruel.

Questions about the election in Guadalajara

How many seats does Guadalajara elect?
Guadalajara elects 3 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Guadalajara according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Guadalajara with 32.8% (between 27.7% and 37.6% in 80% of simulations), ahead of Vox on 27.8%. PP tops the vote in 68% of the 2,000 simulations; Vox in 17% and PSOE in 15%. Estimated seats: PP 1, Vox 1 and PSOE 1.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Guadalajara?
Itziar Asenjo Domínguez (PP), Ángel López Maraver (Vox) and María Jesús Merino Poyo (PSOE). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 10 lists stand for Congress in Guadalajara.
Are there polls of Guadalajara for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Guadalajara. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Guadalajara: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Guadalajara at the 2023 general election?
PP topped the vote in Guadalajara on 23 July 2023 with 36.3% of valid votes. Seats: PP 1, PSOE 1 and Vox 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

All 52 constituencies