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Spain election 2026 in Murcia: polls and seat projection

Region of Murcia10 seats
D-16days to the election

PP estimated first in Murcia, 37%.

As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 36.9% in the constituency of Murcia for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 30.6% for Vox, according to the Sondagio model. The 10 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 4–5, Vox 3–4 and PSOE 2–3. PP tops the vote in 84% of simulations (Vox in 16%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PP came first in Murcia with 41.2% (official result).
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Estimate and seats in Murcia

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PP36.931.8–41.64–584%
Vox30.626.0–35.13–416%
PSOE20.016.1–24.42–3–
Frente Amplio5.44.1–7.00–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Murcia. Method.

The parties in Murcia

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018Mirian Guardiola Salmerón
Voxradical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalismJoaquín Robles López
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezMaría González Veracruz
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersPenélope Luna Palazón

10 lists stand for Congress in Murcia. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Murcia

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PP41.24
PSOE25.33
Vox21.82
Sumar9.61

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Nearby constituencies

Neighbouring provinces: Alicante, Albacete, Granada, Almería.

Questions about the election in Murcia

How many seats does Murcia elect?
Murcia elects 10 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Murcia according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Murcia with 36.9% (between 31.8% and 41.6% in 80% of simulations), ahead of Vox on 30.6%. PP tops the vote in 84% of the 2,000 simulations; Vox in 16%. Estimated seats: PP 4–5, Vox 3–4 and PSOE 2–3.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Murcia?
Mirian Guardiola Salmerón (PP), Joaquín Robles López (Vox) and María González Veracruz (PSOE). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 10 lists stand for Congress in Murcia.
Are there polls of Murcia for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Murcia. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Murcia: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Murcia at the 2023 general election?
PP topped the vote in Murcia on 23 July 2023 with 41.2% of valid votes. Seats: PP 4, PSOE 3, Vox 2 and Sumar 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

All 52 constituencies