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Spain election 2026 in Málaga: polls and seat projection

Andalusia11 seats
D-16days to the election

PP estimated first in Málaga, 32%.

As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 32.1% in the constituency of Málaga for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 22.7% for PSOE, according to the Sondagio model. The 11 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 3–5, PSOE 2–3, Vox 2–3, Adelante Andalucía 0–1 and Frente Amplio 0–1. PP tops the vote in 90% of simulations (PSOE in 7% and Vox in 3%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PP came first in Málaga with 38.3% (official result).
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Estimate and seats in Málaga

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PP32.127.3–36.73–590%
PSOE22.718.3–27.22–37%
Vox22.518.4–26.42–33%
Adelante Andalucía8.76.8–10.90–1–
Frente Amplio6.65.0–8.40–1–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Málaga. Method.

The parties in Málaga

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018Elías Bendodo Benasayag
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezJosé Bernal Gutiérrez
Voxradical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalismCarlos Hernández Quero
Adelante AndalucíaAndalusian left-wing regionalist partyAna María Jiménez Navarro
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersRafael Borrego Peña

11 lists stand for Congress in Málaga. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Málaga

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PP38.35
PSOE30.33
Vox16.52
Sumar12.31

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Nearby constituencies

Also in Andalusia: Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Seville.

Questions about the election in Málaga

How many seats does Málaga elect?
Málaga elects 11 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Málaga according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Málaga with 32.1% (between 27.3% and 36.7% in 80% of simulations), ahead of PSOE on 22.7%. PP tops the vote in 90% of the 2,000 simulations; PSOE in 7% and Vox in 3%. Estimated seats: PP 3–5, PSOE 2–3, Vox 2–3, Adelante Andalucía 0–1 and Frente Amplio 0–1.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Málaga?
Elías Bendodo Benasayag (PP), José Bernal Gutiérrez (PSOE), Carlos Hernández Quero (Vox), Ana María Jiménez Navarro (Adelante Andalucía) and Rafael Borrego Peña (Frente Amplio). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 11 lists stand for Congress in Málaga.
Are there polls of Málaga for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Málaga. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Málaga: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Málaga at the 2023 general election?
PP topped the vote in Málaga on 23 July 2023 with 38.3% of valid votes. Seats: PP 5, PSOE 3, Vox 2 and Sumar 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

All 52 constituencies