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Spain election 2026 in Jaén: polls and seat projection

Andalusia5 seats
D-16days to the election

PP estimated first in Jaén, 32%.

As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 32.0% in the constituency of Jaén for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 28.2% for PSOE, according to the Sondagio model. The 5 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 2, PSOE 1–2 and Vox 1. PP tops the vote in 70% of simulations (PSOE in 29% and Vox in 1%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PP came first in Jaén with 37.3% (official result).
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Estimate and seats in Jaén

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PP32.027.3–36.7270%
PSOE28.223.1–33.01–229%
Vox20.917.1–24.811%
Adelante Andalucía9.07.0–11.20–
Frente Amplio4.33.3–5.70–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Jaén. Method.

The parties in Jaén

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018Luis Mariano Camacho Nuñez (Chiqui)
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezIsabel Uceda Cantero
Voxradical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalismFrancisco José Alcaraz Martos
Adelante AndalucíaAndalusian left-wing regionalist partySilvia Cano Contreras
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersAntonio Ortega Ruiz (Frente Amplio Andaluz)

11 lists stand for Congress in Jaén. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Jaén

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PP37.32
PSOE36.32
Vox14.81
Sumar8.00

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Nearby constituencies

Also in Andalusia: Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Málaga, Seville. Neighbouring provinces in other regions: Albacete, Ciudad Real.

Questions about the election in Jaén

How many seats does Jaén elect?
Jaén elects 5 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Jaén according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Jaén with 32.0% (between 27.3% and 36.7% in 80% of simulations), ahead of PSOE on 28.2%. PP tops the vote in 70% of the 2,000 simulations; PSOE in 29% and Vox in 1%. Estimated seats: PP 2, PSOE 1–2 and Vox 1.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Jaén?
Luis Mariano Camacho Nuñez (Chiqui) (PP), Isabel Uceda Cantero (PSOE) and Francisco José Alcaraz Martos (Vox). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 11 lists stand for Congress in Jaén.
Are there polls of Jaén for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Jaén. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Jaén: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Jaén at the 2023 general election?
PP topped the vote in Jaén on 23 July 2023 with 37.3% of valid votes. Seats: PP 2, PSOE 2 and Vox 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

All 52 constituencies