sondagSee the elections

Spain election 2026 in Cádiz: polls and seat projection

Andalusia8 seats (−1 on 2023)
D-16days to the election

PP estimated first in Cádiz, 30%.

As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 29.8% in the constituency of Cádiz for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 25.6% for PSOE, according to the Sondagio model. The 8 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 2–4, PSOE 2–3, Vox 1–2, Adelante Andalucía 0–1 and Frente Amplio 0–1. PP tops the vote in 72% of simulations (PSOE in 25% and Vox in 3%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PP came first in Cádiz with 34.8% (official result).
Spanish page, with every list and the municipalities →
← Spain election 2026, national average

Estimate and seats in Cádiz

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PP29.825.1–34.32–472%
PSOE25.620.8–30.32–325%
Vox21.417.4–25.01–23%
Adelante Andalucía8.97.0–11.20–1–
Frente Amplio7.15.5–9.10–1–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Cádiz. Method.

The parties in Cádiz

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018María José García-Pelayo Jurado
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezJosé Manuel Albares Bueno
Voxradical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalismBlanca Armario González
Adelante AndalucíaAndalusian left-wing regionalist partyMaría Sánchez Barrada
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersEsther Francisca Gil de Reboleño Lastortres

11 lists stand for Congress in Cádiz. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Cádiz

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PP34.84
PSOE33.23
Vox15.21
Sumar12.91

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Nearby constituencies

Also in Andalusia: Almería, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga, Seville.

Questions about the election in Cádiz

How many seats does Cádiz elect?
Cádiz elects 8 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, 1 fewer than in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Cádiz according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Cádiz with 29.8% (between 25.1% and 34.3% in 80% of simulations), ahead of PSOE on 25.6%. PP tops the vote in 72% of the 2,000 simulations; PSOE in 25% and Vox in 3%. Estimated seats: PP 2–4, PSOE 2–3, Vox 1–2, Adelante Andalucía 0–1 and Frente Amplio 0–1.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Cádiz?
María José García-Pelayo Jurado (PP), José Manuel Albares Bueno (PSOE), Blanca Armario González (Vox), María Sánchez Barrada (Adelante Andalucía) and Esther Francisca Gil de Reboleño Lastortres (Frente Amplio). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 11 lists stand for Congress in Cádiz.
Are there polls of Cádiz for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Cádiz. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Cádiz: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Cádiz at the 2023 general election?
PP topped the vote in Cádiz on 23 July 2023 with 34.8% of valid votes. Seats: PP 4, PSOE 3, Vox 1 and Sumar 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

All 52 constituencies