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Spain election 2026 in Seville (Sevilla): polls and seat projection

Andalusia12 seats
D-16days to the election

Seville: PP and PSOE within 2 points, estimated.

As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 28.5% in the constituency of Seville for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 28.4% for PSOE, according to the Sondagio model. The 12 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 3–5, PSOE 3–5, Vox 2–3, Adelante Andalucía 1 and Frente Amplio 0–1. PP tops the vote in 50% of simulations (PSOE in 49% and Vox in 1%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PSOE came first in Seville with 36.6% (official result).
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Estimate and seats in Seville

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PP28.523.7–33.03–550%
PSOE28.423.3–33.13–549%
Vox18.915.3–22.62–31%
Adelante Andalucía8.96.9–11.21–
Frente Amplio7.76.0–9.90–1–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Seville. Method.

The parties in Seville

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018Juan Bravo Baena
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezAlfonso Rodríguez Gómez de Celis
Voxradical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalismMaría de los Reyes Romero Vilches
Adelante AndalucíaAndalusian left-wing regionalist partyLuis María de los Santos Castillo
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersEnrique Fernando Santiago Romero

11 lists stand for Congress in Seville. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Seville

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PSOE36.65
PP33.44
Sumar14.02
Vox13.31

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Nearby constituencies

Also in Andalusia: Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga. Neighbouring provinces in other regions: Badajoz.

Questions about the election in Seville

How many seats does Seville elect?
Seville elects 12 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Seville according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Seville with 28.5% (between 23.7% and 33.0% in 80% of simulations), ahead of PSOE on 28.4%. PP tops the vote in 50% of the 2,000 simulations; PSOE in 49% and Vox in 1%. Estimated seats: PP 3–5, PSOE 3–5, Vox 2–3, Adelante Andalucía 1 and Frente Amplio 0–1.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Seville?
Juan Bravo Baena (PP), Alfonso Rodríguez Gómez de Celis (PSOE), María de los Reyes Romero Vilches (Vox), Luis María de los Santos Castillo (Adelante Andalucía) and Enrique Fernando Santiago Romero (Frente Amplio). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 11 lists stand for Congress in Seville.
Are there polls of Seville for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Seville. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Seville: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Seville at the 2023 general election?
PSOE topped the vote in Seville on 23 July 2023 with 36.6% of valid votes. Seats: PSOE 5, PP 4, Sumar 2 and Vox 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

All 52 constituencies