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Spain election 2026 in Balearic Islands (Illes Balears): polls and seat projection

Balearic Islands8 seats
D-16days to the election

PP estimated first in Balearic Islands, 34%.

As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 34.4% in the constituency of Balearic Islands for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 26.1% for PSOE, according to the Sondagio model. The 8 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 3–4, PSOE 2–3, Vox 2–3 and Frente Amplio 0–1. PP tops the vote in 86% of simulations (PSOE in 11% and Vox in 3%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PP came first in Balearic Islands with 35.6% (official result).
In 2026 Podemos runs inside Frente Amplio, with no list of its own.
Spanish page, with every list and the municipalities →
← Spain election 2026, national average

Estimate and seats in Balearic Islands

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PP34.429.3–39.43–486%
PSOE26.121.5–31.02–311%
Vox24.119.7–28.42–33%
Frente Amplio10.58.0–13.20–1–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Balearic Islands. Method.

The parties in Balearic Islands

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018José Vicente Marí Bosó
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezFrancesca Lluch Armengol Socias
Voxradical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalismMaría Isabel Cerezo Sánchez
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersCarme Gomila Domínguez

7 lists stand for Congress in Balearic Islands. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Balearic Islands

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PP35.63
PSOE30.23
Sumar16.61
Vox15.21

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Questions about the election in Balearic Islands

How many seats does Balearic Islands elect?
Balearic Islands elects 8 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Balearic Islands according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Balearic Islands with 34.4% (between 29.3% and 39.4% in 80% of simulations), ahead of PSOE on 26.1%. PP tops the vote in 86% of the 2,000 simulations; PSOE in 11% and Vox in 3%. Estimated seats: PP 3–4, PSOE 2–3, Vox 2–3 and Frente Amplio 0–1.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Balearic Islands?
José Vicente Marí Bosó (PP), Francesca Lluch Armengol Socias (PSOE), María Isabel Cerezo Sánchez (Vox) and Carme Gomila Domínguez (Frente Amplio). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 7 lists stand for Congress in Balearic Islands.
Are there polls of Balearic Islands for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Balearic Islands. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Balearic Islands: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Balearic Islands at the 2023 general election?
PP topped the vote in Balearic Islands on 23 July 2023 with 35.6% of valid votes. Seats: PP 3, PSOE 3, Vox 1 and Sumar 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

All 52 constituencies