Spain election 2026 in Madrid: polls and seat projection
PP estimated first in Madrid, 38%.
As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 37.8% in the constituency of Madrid for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 23.0% for PSOE, according to the Sondagio model. The 38 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 13–18, PSOE 7–11, Vox 7–10, Frente Amplio 3–5 and Podemos 0–2. PP tops the vote in 98% of simulations (PSOE in 1%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.
- 37.8%PP, estimated
- 23.0%PSOE, estimated
- 38seats at stake
- 40.5%PP in 2023
Spanish page, with every list and the municipalities →
← Spain election 2026, national average
Estimate and seats in Madrid
Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold| Party | Estimated vote, % | 80% range | Seats | Tops the vote |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | 37.8 | 32.6–42.5 | 13–18 | 98% |
| PSOE | 23.0 | 18.6–27.4 | 7–11 | 1% |
| Vox | 21.5 | 17.4–25.4 | 7–10 | – |
| Frente Amplio | 9.3 | 7.2–11.9 | 3–5 | – |
| Podemos | 3.8 | 2.9–4.9 | 0–2 | – |
| Se Acabó La Fiesta | 2.0 | 1.5–2.6 | 0 | – |
Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Madrid. Method.
The parties in Madrid
who they are · who heads the list| Party | Who they are | Heads the list |
|---|---|---|
| PP | the main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018 | Alberto Núñez Feijóo |
| PSOE | the centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez | Pedro Sánchez Pérez-Castejón |
| Vox | radical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalism | Santiago Abascal Conde |
| Frente Amplio | left-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and others | Emilio Delgado Orgaz |
| Podemos | radical-left party that broke away from Sumar | Irene Montero Gil |
| Se Acabó La Fiesta | anti-establishment protest list of social-media figure Alvise Pérez | Luis Alvise Pérez Fernández |
14 lists stand for Congress in Madrid. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →
2023 general election result in Madrid
| Party | % of votes | Seats |
|---|---|---|
| PP | 40.5 | 16 |
| PSOE | 27.8 | 10 |
| Sumar | 15.5 | 6 |
| Vox | 14.0 | 5 |
Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).
Nearby constituencies
Neighbouring provinces: Segovia, Guadalajara, Cuenca, Toledo, Ávila.
Questions about the election in Madrid
- How many seats does Madrid elect?
- Madrid elects 38 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, 1 more than in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
- Who is ahead in Madrid according to the polls?
- In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Madrid with 37.8% (between 32.6% and 42.5% in 80% of simulations), ahead of PSOE on 23.0%. PP tops the vote in 98% of the 2,000 simulations; PSOE in 1%. Estimated seats: PP 13–18, PSOE 7–11, Vox 7–10, Frente Amplio 3–5 and Podemos 0–2.
- Who heads the lists for Congress in Madrid?
- Alberto Núñez Feijóo (PP), Pedro Sánchez Pérez-Castejón (PSOE), Santiago Abascal Conde (Vox), Emilio Delgado Orgaz (Frente Amplio) and Irene Montero Gil (Podemos). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 14 lists stand for Congress in Madrid.
- Are there polls of Madrid for the general election?
- Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Madrid. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Madrid: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
- When is Spain's general election?
- Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
- Who won in Madrid at the 2023 general election?
- PP topped the vote in Madrid on 23 July 2023 with 40.5% of valid votes. Seats: PP 16, PSOE 10, Sumar 6 and Vox 5 (official result).
More on Spain's election
- Spain election 2026: the national poll averageSeat projection for the 350-seat Congress and possible majorities
- Spain election 2023 resultsMap and seats, province by province
- Spain's regional elections, 2027
- How close polls came to results
All 52 constituencies
- A Coruña
- Álava
- Albacete
- Alicante
- Almería
- Asturias
- Ávila
- Badajoz
- Balearic Islands
- Barcelona
- Biscay
- Burgos
- Cáceres
- Cádiz
- Cantabria
- Castellón
- Ceuta
- Ciudad Real
- Córdoba
- Cuenca
- Gipuzkoa
- Girona
- Granada
- Guadalajara
- Huelva
- Huesca
- Jaén
- La Rioja
- Las Palmas
- León
- Lleida
- Lugo
- Madrid
- Málaga
- Melilla
- Murcia
- Navarre
- Ourense
- Palencia
- Pontevedra
- Salamanca
- Santa Cruz de Tenerife
- Segovia
- Seville
- Soria
- Tarragona
- Teruel
- Toledo
- Valencia
- Valladolid
- Zamora
- Zaragoza