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Spain election 2026 in Santa Cruz de Tenerife: polls and seat projection

Canary Islands7 seats
D-16days to the election

PP estimated first in Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 39%.

As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 38.8% in the constituency of Santa Cruz de Tenerife for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 33.1% for PSOE, according to the Sondagio model. The 7 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 3–4, PSOE 2–3 and Coalición Canaria 1. PP tops the vote in 77% of simulations (PSOE in 23%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PP came first in Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 35.4% (official result).
In 2026 Podemos runs inside Frente Amplio, with no list of its own.
Spanish page, with every list and the municipalities →
← Spain election 2026, national average

Estimate and seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PP38.833.2–43.93–477%
PSOE33.127.8–37.82–323%
Coalición Canaria14.711.9–18.01–
Frente Amplio7.55.9–9.60–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Santa Cruz de Tenerife. Method.

The parties in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018Gustavo González De Vega
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezJosé Antonio Valbuena Alonso
Coalición CanariaCanary Islands regionalistsCristina Valido García
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersMaría Soledad Collado Mirabal

12 lists stand for Congress in Santa Cruz de Tenerife. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PP35.43
PSOE33.53
CCa16.71
Sumar10.80

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Nearby constituencies

Also in Canary Islands: Las Palmas.

Questions about the election in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

How many seats does Santa Cruz de Tenerife elect?
Santa Cruz de Tenerife elects 7 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Santa Cruz de Tenerife according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 38.8% (between 33.2% and 43.9% in 80% of simulations), ahead of PSOE on 33.1%. PP tops the vote in 77% of the 2,000 simulations; PSOE in 23%. Estimated seats: PP 3–4, PSOE 2–3 and Coalición Canaria 1.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Santa Cruz de Tenerife?
Gustavo González De Vega (PP), José Antonio Valbuena Alonso (PSOE) and Cristina Valido García (Coalición Canaria). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 12 lists stand for Congress in Santa Cruz de Tenerife.
Are there polls of Santa Cruz de Tenerife for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Santa Cruz de Tenerife. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Santa Cruz de Tenerife: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Santa Cruz de Tenerife at the 2023 general election?
PP topped the vote in Santa Cruz de Tenerife on 23 July 2023 with 35.4% of valid votes. Seats: PP 3, PSOE 3 and CCa 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

All 52 constituencies