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Spain election 2026 in Asturias: polls and seat projection

Asturias7 seats
D-16days to the election

PP estimated first in Asturias, 34%.

As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 33.9% in the constituency of Asturias for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 29.5% for PSOE, according to the Sondagio model. The 7 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 2–3, PSOE 2–3, Vox 1–2 and Frente Amplio 0–1. PP tops the vote in 74% of simulations (PSOE in 26%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PP came first in Asturias with 35.6% (official result).
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Estimate and seats in Asturias

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PP33.928.8–39.12–374%
PSOE29.524.7–34.42–326%
Vox19.916.0–24.01–2–
Frente Amplio9.17.0–11.90–1–
Podemos3.52.6–4.50–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Asturias. Method.

The parties in Asturias

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018Ángela Pumariega Menéndez
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezAdriana Lastra Fernández
Voxradical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalismJosé María Figaredo Álvarez-Sala
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersJuan Antonio González Ponte
Podemosradical-left party that broke away from SumarManuel Antonio Pravia Fernández

11 lists stand for Congress in Asturias. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Asturias

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PP35.63
PSOE34.32
Sumar14.81
Vox12.51

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Nearby constituencies

Neighbouring provinces: Lugo, León, Cantabria.

Questions about the election in Asturias

How many seats does Asturias elect?
Asturias elects 7 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Asturias according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Asturias with 33.9% (between 28.8% and 39.1% in 80% of simulations), ahead of PSOE on 29.5%. PP tops the vote in 74% of the 2,000 simulations; PSOE in 26%. Estimated seats: PP 2–3, PSOE 2–3, Vox 1–2 and Frente Amplio 0–1.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Asturias?
Ángela Pumariega Menéndez (PP), Adriana Lastra Fernández (PSOE), José María Figaredo Álvarez-Sala (Vox) and Juan Antonio González Ponte (Frente Amplio). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 11 lists stand for Congress in Asturias.
Are there polls of Asturias for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Asturias. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Asturias: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Asturias at the 2023 general election?
PP topped the vote in Asturias on 23 July 2023 with 35.6% of valid votes. Seats: PP 3, PSOE 2, Vox 1 and Sumar 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

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