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Spain election 2026 in Ávila: polls and seat projection

Castile and León3 seats
D-16days to the election

PP estimated first in Ávila, 43%.

As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 42.5% in the constituency of Ávila for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 24.6% for Vox, according to the Sondagio model. The 3 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 1–2, Vox 0–1 and PSOE 0–1. PP tops the vote in more than 99% of simulations. No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PP came first in Ávila with 43.3% (official result).
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Estimate and seats in Ávila

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PP42.537.2–47.21–2> 99%
Vox24.620.2–28.80–1–
PSOE23.819.4–28.80–1–
Frente Amplio3.12.3–4.10–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Ávila. Method.

The parties in Ávila

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018Héctor Palencia Rubio
Voxradical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalismSamuel Vázquez Álvarez
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezManuel Arribas Maroto
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersPablo Garcinuño García

10 lists stand for Congress in Ávila. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Ávila

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PP43.32
PSOE27.41
Vox15.40
Sumar5.10

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Nearby constituencies

Also in Castile and León: Burgos, León, Palencia, Salamanca, Segovia, Soria, Valladolid, Zamora. Neighbouring provinces in other regions: Madrid, Toledo, Cáceres.

Questions about the election in Ávila

How many seats does Ávila elect?
Ávila elects 3 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Ávila according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Ávila with 42.5% (between 37.2% and 47.2% in 80% of simulations), ahead of Vox on 24.6%. PP tops the vote in more than 99% of the 2,000 simulations. Estimated seats: PP 1–2, Vox 0–1 and PSOE 0–1.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Ávila?
Héctor Palencia Rubio (PP), Samuel Vázquez Álvarez (Vox) and Manuel Arribas Maroto (PSOE). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 10 lists stand for Congress in Ávila.
Are there polls of Ávila for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Ávila. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Ávila: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Ávila at the 2023 general election?
PP topped the vote in Ávila on 23 July 2023 with 43.3% of valid votes. Seats: PP 2 and PSOE 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

All 52 constituencies