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Spain election 2026 in Toledo: polls and seat projection

Castilla-La Mancha6 seats
D-16days to the election

PP estimated first in Toledo, 34%.

As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 34.3% in the constituency of Toledo for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 28.3% for Vox, according to the Sondagio model. The 6 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 2–3, Vox 1–2 and PSOE 1–2. PP tops the vote in 75% of simulations (Vox in 14% and PSOE in 11%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PP came first in Toledo with 37.8% (official result).
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Estimate and seats in Toledo

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PP34.329.1–39.02–375%
Vox28.323.6–32.81–214%
PSOE26.521.8–31.61–211%
Frente Amplio4.73.5–6.10–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Toledo. Method.

The parties in Toledo

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018Carlos Velázquez Romo
Voxradical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalismManuel Mariscal Zabala
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezMilagros Tolón Jaime
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersJosé Alejandro Ávila Sánchez

9 lists stand for Congress in Toledo. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Toledo

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PP37.83
PSOE32.62
Vox19.61
Sumar8.20

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Nearby constituencies

Also in Castilla-La Mancha: Albacete, Ciudad Real, Cuenca, Guadalajara. Neighbouring provinces in other regions: Madrid, Badajoz, Cáceres, Ávila.

Questions about the election in Toledo

How many seats does Toledo elect?
Toledo elects 6 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Toledo according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Toledo with 34.3% (between 29.1% and 39.0% in 80% of simulations), ahead of Vox on 28.3%. PP tops the vote in 75% of the 2,000 simulations; Vox in 14% and PSOE in 11%. Estimated seats: PP 2–3, Vox 1–2 and PSOE 1–2.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Toledo?
Carlos Velázquez Romo (PP), Manuel Mariscal Zabala (Vox) and Milagros Tolón Jaime (PSOE). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 9 lists stand for Congress in Toledo.
Are there polls of Toledo for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Toledo. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Toledo: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Toledo at the 2023 general election?
PP topped the vote in Toledo on 23 July 2023 with 37.8% of valid votes. Seats: PP 3, PSOE 2 and Vox 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

All 52 constituencies