Spain election 2026 in Tarragona: polls and seat projection
PSOE estimated first in Tarragona, 30%.
As of 12 November 2026, PSOE is estimated at 29.8% in the constituency of Tarragona for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 18.3% for ERC, according to the Sondagio model. The 6 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PSOE 2–3, ERC 1–2, Vox 1–2, PP 1 and Junts 0–1. PSOE tops the vote in 97% of simulations (ERC in 2% and Vox in 1%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.
- 29.8%PSOE, estimated
- 18.3%ERC, estimated
- 6seats at stake
- 32.9%PSOE in 2023
In 2026 Podemos runs inside the ERC list, with no list of its own.
Spanish page, with every list and the municipalities →
← Spain election 2026, national average
Estimate and seats in Tarragona
Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold| Party | Estimated vote, % | 80% range | Seats | Tops the vote |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSOE | 29.8 | 24.8–34.4 | 2–3 | 97% |
| ERC | 18.3 | 14.6–21.8 | 1–2 | 2% |
| Vox | 17.5 | 14.0–21.2 | 1–2 | 1% |
| PP | 13.7 | 10.8–16.9 | 1 | – |
| Junts | 9.2 | 7.3–11.6 | 0–1 | – |
| Frente Amplio | 7.2 | 5.6–9.3 | 0 | – |
Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Tarragona. Method.
The parties in Tarragona
who they are · who heads the list| Party | Who they are | Heads the list |
|---|---|---|
| PSOE | the centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez | Ione Montalvo Aguirrezabala |
| ERC | left-wing Catalan pro-independence party | Norma Pujol Farré |
| Vox | radical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalism | Jordi Albert de la Fuente i Miró |
| PP | the main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018 | Mónica Landete Oliva |
| Junts | centre-right Catalan pro-independence party of Carles Puigdemont | Josep Maria Cruset i Domènech |
| Frente Amplio | left-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and others | Ester Roca Domedel |
13 lists stand for Congress in Tarragona. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →
2023 general election result in Tarragona
| Party | % of votes | Seats |
|---|---|---|
| PSOE | 32.9 | 2 |
| ERC | 15.1 | 1 |
| PP | 13.9 | 1 |
| Sumar | 11.3 | 1 |
| Junts | 11.1 | 1 |
| Vox | 10.3 | 0 |
Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).
Nearby constituencies
Also in Catalonia: Barcelona, Girona, Lleida. Neighbouring provinces in other regions: Zaragoza, Teruel, Castellón.
Questions about the election in Tarragona
- How many seats does Tarragona elect?
- Tarragona elects 6 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
- Who is ahead in Tarragona according to the polls?
- In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PSOE comes first in Tarragona with 29.8% (between 24.8% and 34.4% in 80% of simulations), ahead of ERC on 18.3%. PSOE tops the vote in 97% of the 2,000 simulations; ERC in 2% and Vox in 1%. Estimated seats: PSOE 2–3, ERC 1–2, Vox 1–2, PP 1 and Junts 0–1.
- Who heads the lists for Congress in Tarragona?
- Ione Montalvo Aguirrezabala (PSOE), Norma Pujol Farré (ERC), Jordi Albert de la Fuente i Miró (Vox), Mónica Landete Oliva (PP) and Josep Maria Cruset i Domènech (Junts). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 13 lists stand for Congress in Tarragona.
- Are there polls of Tarragona for the general election?
- Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Tarragona. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Tarragona: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
- When is Spain's general election?
- Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
- Who won in Tarragona at the 2023 general election?
- PSOE topped the vote in Tarragona on 23 July 2023 with 32.9% of valid votes. Seats: PSOE 2, PP 1, Sumar 1, ERC 1 and Junts 1 (official result).
More on Spain's election
- Spain election 2026: the national poll averageSeat projection for the 350-seat Congress and possible majorities
- Spain election 2023 resultsMap and seats, province by province
- Spain's regional elections, 2027
- How close polls came to results
All 52 constituencies
- A Coruña
- Álava
- Albacete
- Alicante
- Almería
- Asturias
- Ávila
- Badajoz
- Balearic Islands
- Barcelona
- Biscay
- Burgos
- Cáceres
- Cádiz
- Cantabria
- Castellón
- Ceuta
- Ciudad Real
- Córdoba
- Cuenca
- Gipuzkoa
- Girona
- Granada
- Guadalajara
- Huelva
- Huesca
- Jaén
- La Rioja
- Las Palmas
- León
- Lleida
- Lugo
- Madrid
- Málaga
- Melilla
- Murcia
- Navarre
- Ourense
- Palencia
- Pontevedra
- Salamanca
- Santa Cruz de Tenerife
- Segovia
- Seville
- Soria
- Tarragona
- Teruel
- Toledo
- Valencia
- Valladolid
- Zamora
- Zaragoza