sondagSee the elections

Spain election 2026 in Palencia: polls and seat projection

Castile and León3 seats
D-16days to the election

PP estimated first in Palencia, 40%.

As of 12 November 2026, PP is estimated at 40.2% in the constituency of Palencia for Spain's general election on 29 November, against 29.9% for PSOE, according to the Sondagio model. The 3 seats would be shared out as follows, with the 80% range of the 2,000 simulations: PP 1–2, PSOE 1 and Vox 0–1. PP tops the vote in 91% of simulations (PSOE in 9%). No polls of single provinces are published: the estimate applies the national average to the 2023 result.

In 2023, PP came first in Palencia with 42.0% (official result).
Spanish page, with every list and the municipalities →
← Spain election 2026, national average

Estimate and seats in Palencia

Sondagio model · D'Hondt, 3% threshold
PartyEstimated vote, %80% rangeSeatsTops the vote
PP40.234.7–45.01–291%
PSOE29.924.9–35.319%
Vox20.516.6–24.40–1–
Frente Amplio3.62.7–4.70–

Estimate: the national average of 16 pollsters applied to the 2023 result; 8 in 10 simulations fall inside the range. It is not a poll of Palencia. Method.

The parties in Palencia

who they are · who heads the list
PartyWho they areHeads the list
PPthe main centre-right party (People's Party), in opposition since 2018Milagros Marcos Ortega
PSOEthe centre-left Socialist party of Prime Minister Pedro SánchezMaría Luz Martínez Seijo
Voxradical-right Spanish nationalists, hard line on immigration and on Catalan and Basque nationalismMatías Recio Juárez
Frente Amplioleft-wing alliance led by Ada Colau that brings together Sumar (PSOE's coalition partner since 2023), United Left, Más Madrid, Comuns and othersAna Belén Collantes Martín

11 lists stand for Congress in Palencia. Source: lists proclaimed in the BOE of 3 November 2026, with the correction of 7 November. Every name on every list (in Spanish) →

2023 general election result in Palencia

23 July 2023 · Congress · % of valid votes · official result
Party% of votesSeats
PP42.02
PSOE34.71
Vox12.90
Sumar6.10

Source: Spain's Interior Ministry, official results (compiled on Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0).

Nearby constituencies

Also in Castile and León: Ávila, Burgos, León, Salamanca, Segovia, Soria, Valladolid, Zamora. Neighbouring provinces in other regions: Cantabria.

Questions about the election in Palencia

How many seats does Palencia elect?
Palencia elects 3 of the 350 members of Spain's Congress of Deputies at the general election of 29 November 2026, the same number as in 2023. Seats are shared out by the D'Hondt method among the lists that win at least 3% of the valid votes in the constituency.
Who is ahead in Palencia according to the polls?
In the Sondagio estimate as of 12 November 2026, PP comes first in Palencia with 40.2% (between 34.7% and 45.0% in 80% of simulations), ahead of PSOE on 29.9%. PP tops the vote in 91% of the 2,000 simulations; PSOE in 9%. Estimated seats: PP 1–2, PSOE 1 and Vox 0–1.
Who heads the lists for Congress in Palencia?
Milagros Marcos Ortega (PP), María Luz Martínez Seijo (PSOE) and Matías Recio Juárez (Vox). These are the lists officially proclaimed and published in Spain's state gazette (BOE) on 3 November 2026; 11 lists stand for Congress in Palencia.
Are there polls of Palencia for the general election?
Almost every poll of the general election is national and publishes no figures for Palencia. The Sondagio estimate applies the national average of 16 pollsters to the 2023 result in Palencia: it is a model, not a poll of the constituency.
When is Spain's general election?
Sunday 29 November 2026. Polling stations open from 9am to 8pm. Spanish law bans the publication of polls from 24 to 28 November.
Who won in Palencia at the 2023 general election?
PP topped the vote in Palencia on 23 July 2023 with 42.0% of valid votes. Seats: PP 2 and PSOE 1 (official result).

More on Spain's election

All 52 constituencies