Bundoora district: Victorian election 2026 forecast
Labor 57% to win Bundoora (lean).
In Sondagio's seat forecast (20,000 simulated counts, updated ), Labor wins Bundoora in 57% of simulations. The most likely final two is Labor v Liberal (73%). Bundoora is held by Labor (Colin Brooks); in 2022 Labor won it, ALP v LIB, by 12.7 points.
Chance of winning Bundoora
Share of simulations won| Party | Chance | Expected first preferences |
|---|---|---|
| Labor | 57% | 28.8% |
| Liberal | 35% | 26.3% |
| One Nation | 8% | 21.1% |
Expected first preferences: Labor 28.8% · Liberal 26.3% · One Nation 21.1% · Greens 16.3% · Others 6.8%. YouGov's seat-by-seat model (June–July) had One Nation 24%, Coalition 22%, Labor 27%, Greens 13%. No poll is published for this district: the forecast comes from the statewide poll average, the 2022 result, One Nation's 2025 federal vote here and preference flows. How the forecast works
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